Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Wednesday’s Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup features Walker Buehler and Frankie Montas. The Dodgers are 71-49 and they are currently on a five-game winning streak. Los Angeles is first in the NL West, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 67-52.
SNLA will be televising this game, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. The Dodgers are the road favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -133 compared to the Brewers at +113. First pitch from American Family Field is set for 8:10 PM ET.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Dodgers have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games, the Dodgers have a 7-3 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Brewers by a score of 7-2. Los Angeles had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only two runs in the 7th.
Gavin Stone got the win for the Dodgers out of the bullpen, while Landon Knack got the save. Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.
Offensively, the Dodgers were led by Will Smith and Andy Pages, as they were the only two Dodgers hitters to have more than one hit and each had a home run. Smith, Pages, and Shohei Ohtani each had two RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is on a five-game winning streak, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers come into today’s game with an overall record of 71-49. So far, they are just 21-18 in divisional games. Los Angeles has gone 38-22 at home and 33-27 on the road this year.
As the favorite, the Dodgers are 67-39 this year, and they are 4-10 as the underdog. Los Angeles has been good as the road favorite, putting together a mark of 30-17 this year. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 22-17-1, and they are winning their current series.
When the Dodgers are on the road, they have covered the run line in 31 of their 60 games. Their average run differential in those games is +1.0. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 in that span. Their average run differential in all games this season is +0.9.
Los Angeles is 63-56 on the over/under line this season, with an average line of 9.0 runs per game. When the line is set at 9 runs, the Dodgers are 9-6-1. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 15.0% of their games this season.
Walker Buehler is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, where he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. In that start, he gave up two homers. Against the Brewers today, Buehler will be looking to get back to the form he showed on June 12th vs. the Rangers, where he only gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. Buehler’s ERA for the season is 5.84, and he has a record of 1-4. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 7.54 strikeouts per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 37 homers are the 2nd most in the league and the top mark on the Dodgers roster. Overall, Ohtani is batting .297 for the season, but he has struggled a bit of late, going just 6/37 in his last nine games. During this stretch, he does have four homers and seven RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .271 for the season. Hernandez has gone 12/38 in his last nine games.
As a team, the Dodgers are 5th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been a very patient team at the plate, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage. The Dodgers are also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 3rd in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Milwaukee is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 67-52, good for 1st place in the NL Central. Currently, they lead the Cardinals by 7.5 games for the division lead. The Brewers have dropped three straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 25-14 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 33-24 this season and 34-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers are 29-24 this year, and they are 38-28 when favored. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-3 this year, and they have won two straight series.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 35-27 against the spread away from Milwaukee. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8 runs per game, but that number jumps to +1.0 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog this season, going 35-18 against the spread in those games.
When the Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Milwaukee games this season is 64-49, and when the line is set at 9 runs, the record is 7-6-3. In 77.3% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set lower than 9 runs.
Through 21 starts, Frankie Montas has a record of 5-8 and an ERA of 5.10. He has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 7.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Montas’ last outing came against the Braves, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Montas has been much better on the road, coming in with a 6.8 ERA compared to 5.98 at home.
William Contreras has been on a tear of late for the Brewers, batting .364 with three homers over his last six games. For the season, he is hitting .285 with 15 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, with 20 and 21 homers, respectively. Adames’ 80 RBIs is 10th in the league and leads the Brewers.
As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are one of the league’s best hitting teams, with a team batting average of .255 and an OBP of .332, which is 2nd in the MLB.
Our predictions for today’s Dodgers vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +113. We have the Brewers winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Frankie Montas finishing with more strikeouts than Walker Buehler, with Montas projected to finish with five and Buehler at six. However, Buehler does have the better chance of picking up a win, but at +113, we like Montas’ chances of picking up a win.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
| Blake Perkins | Out | Calf |
| Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| Trevor Megill | Out | Back |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Blake Treinen | Out | Hip |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
