Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 8:10 PM ET, the Dodgers and Brewers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Dodgers are the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -109 compared to the Brewers at -109. The over/under line is at 8 runs.
Clayton Kershaw will start for the Dodgers, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta. The Dodgers are 69-49, and they are on a three-game winning streak. The Brewers are 67-50 and are first in the NL Central.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
- The Brewers hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 7-3 record as the underdog.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Pirates added another two runs in the 2nd to take the early lead. However, the Dodgers scored another two runs in the 2nd to tie things up. Los Angeles went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.
Starting for the Dodgers was Tyler Glasnow, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of two-run ball. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win thanks to the Dodgers’s offense scoring two runs in the bottom of the 10th. Enrique Hernandez went 3/5 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Dodgers also had three players with two hits.
Los Angeles is on the road today to take on the Brewers, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games with a record of 69-49. The Dodgers have won three straight games, closing out their series vs. the Pirates with three straight wins. So far, they are 21-18 in the division.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 38-22 this year, and they are 31-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 65-39 this year and 4-10 as the underdog. Los Angeles has won three straight games as the favorite. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-17-1.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs. That’s why their overall run line record is just 57-61. They are 29-29 vs. the run line on the road this season and 28-32 vs. the run line at home. They are 51-53 vs. the run line as the favorite and 6-8 as the underdog.
Los Angeles Dodgers are on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Dodgers have played 118 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 63-55. The average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 6-11. This season, 80 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 67.8% of their games. Only 21 games have had over/under lines set lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 17.8% of their games.
Clayton Kershaw is set to make his third start of the season for the Dodgers, and he’ll be on the road against the Brewers. Kershaw has taken the loss in both of his first two outings. He went 4 2/3 innings in his last start, giving up 1 earned run and striking out 5.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force in the Dodgers lineup this season, as his 35 home runs are the 2nd most in the league and the most on the team. He is also 7th in the league with 83 RBIs. Ohtani is batting .298 for the season and has an OBP of .385. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key run producer for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and 79 RBIs. Hernandez has been hot of late, going 11/29 in his last seven games, with three homers and eight RBIs.
Overall, the Dodgers offense is 5th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. As a team, they are 2nd in walks and have the league’s 4th best OPS.
The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Reds scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Milwaukee was the -128 favorite at home going into the game.
DL Hall had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Joey Ortiz, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/4.
Milwaukee is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 67-50, and they lead the NL Central by 7.5 games over the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 25-14 in divisional games. The Brewers closed out their series vs. the Reds with two straight wins after dropping the opener.
At home, the Brewers are 33-22 this season and have gone 34-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers have won three straight, and they are 29-22 overall as the underdog. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 38-28. Coming into today’s game, the Brewers have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 21-14-3.
The Brewers have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 61-56 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 35-27 against the run line. They have also been a good bet as the underdog, going 35-16 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-48. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-8-2. Overall, 70 of their games this season have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, which is 59.8% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Braves and picked up the win. In that start, which came on August 7th, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs. Looking back further, Peralta has made 23 starts and has a record of 7-6. His ERA for the season is 4.02, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Opposing batters are hitting .218 off Peralta this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.13 strikeouts, and his total for the season is 155, which ranks eighth in the majors.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been consistent at home and on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game in both situations. Overall, they are batting .257 as a team, which is 4th in the league. Milwaukee has also been very good at getting on base, as they have the 2nd best OBP in the majors.
Willy Adames has been on a tear of late, going 8/23 with four homers and nine RBIs over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .251 with a team-high 21 homers and 80 RBIs. William Contreras is hitting .283 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 66 RBIs.
With the Brewers and Dodgers both coming in at -109 on the money line, our pick is to take the Brewers to pick up the win at home. We actually have this one ending with a final score of 6-5 in favor of the Brewers.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Clayton Kershaw is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fifth-best among all starters today. As for Freddy Peralta, he is projected to finish with eight K’s, which would have him as the eighth-best.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (-109)
- The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Bryan Hudson | Out | Oblique |
Hoby Milner | Out | Shoulder |
Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
Trevor Megill | Out | Back |
Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
Blake Treinen | Out | Hip |
Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |