Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Preview
The Rockies and Brewers face off in an NL matchup at 7:10 PM ET. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -266 compared to the Rockies at +217. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Colorado comes in with a record of 53-89 and they will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Brewers are 81-60 and they currently have a three-game losing streak. Ty Blach will go for the Rockies, and he is facing off against Tobias Myers.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats
- The Rockies are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- The Brewers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Brewers by a score of 3-2. The Rockies offense only had three hits in the game but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +198 on the money line.
Milwaukee had a chance to win the game late, as they scored one run in the 7th and another in the 8th, but Tyler Kinley closed things out for the Rockies. Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Ryan Feltner pitched well for the Rockies in this one, going six innings and giving up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with six strikeouts and picked up a win.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado is 53-89 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, 31.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Rockies have gone 15-28 against other teams in the NL West. They are currently on a two-game winning streak, and their most recent win came in the first game of this series vs. the Brewers.
As the road team today, the Rockies are 21-52 this season. They have been a bit better at home, going 32-37. Colorado’s series record is 10-31-4, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Rockies have been a solid run line team this season, going 70-72 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 36-33, but have been even better on the road, going 34-39. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 69-69.
The Colorado Rockies are on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Rockies and their opponents have combined to average 9.9 runs per game this season. Colorado has an over/under record of 69-70 on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Rockies have gone 9-10 on the over/under. This season, 58.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, while 28.2% have had lower lines. The Rockies have hit the under in each of their last five games.
Colorado is sending left-hander Ty Blach to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-7 with a 6.65 ERA. Blach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.70. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in just two quality starts. Blach most recently started on September 1st vs. the Orioles, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Opponents are batting .340 off Blach this season.
Michael Toglia has been struggling at the plate this season, hitting just .220, but he does lead the Rockies with 23 home runs. He has also gone deep twice in his last six games, going 5/21 during that stretch. Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar are both batting over .260 for the Rockies and are 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs, respectively.
As a team, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the league. The Rockies are also one of the league’s worst teams in terms of strikeouts and walks.
With an overall record of 81-60, the Brewers lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped three straight games, and this losing streak started in the final game of their series vs. the Giants. Milwaukee is 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.
At home, the Brewers are 41-28 this season, and they are 40-32 on the road. So far, they have gone 32-19 as the favorite at home and 47-35 as the favorite overall. As for their record as the underdog, the Brewers are 34-25 this year.
So far, the Brewers have an overall series record of 25-16-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. Milwaukee’s losing streak as the favorite is at three games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall.
When betting on the Milwaukee Brewers’ run line this season, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they are 40-19 in that role. They are 33-36 against the run line at home, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last three games at home. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it’s -2.7 in their losses.
The Milwaukee Brewers are playing the Colorado Rockies at home today. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have gone over the total in 74 of their 132 games this season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Rockies. Myers has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 3.00. He has made six quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t factor into the decision. Against the Reds, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and one homer. Myers has not taken a loss since July 31st. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.97 strikeouts and 2.53 walks.
Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 29 homers are the 13th most in the league and the most on the Brewers’ roster. Adames is also 3rd in the league with 100 RBIs. However, he has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last five games. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .276 and has gone deep 20 times this season.
Over his last five games, Brice Turang has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 7/23. This includes one run scored and one RBI. Jackson Chourio has also been a solid run producer of late, picking up six RBIs in his last five games while going deep twice.
With the Rockies being listed at +217 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Rockies, giving us a good amount of cushion on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ty Blach going seven innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Tobias Myers, we have him going just five innings and ending the game with five K’s.
Offensively, we have the Rockies finishing with nine hits compared to the Brewers with eight.
Our recommended pick is to take the Rockies on the money line, as we see this as a great value pick at +217.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+217)
- The Rockies are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
Ray Black | Out | Personal |
Rob Zastryzny | Out | Elbow |
Bryse Wilson | Out | Oblique |
Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
Nick Mears | Out | Forearm |
Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
Kyle Freeland | Questionable | Finger |
Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
Cal Quantrill | Out | Triceps |
Victor Vodnik | Out | Bicep |
Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |