Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/6/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Preview

First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Rockies and Brewers is set for 6:10 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 81-59 and have lost two straight, but they are still the heavy favorite on the money line today at -226. The Rockies are 52-89, putting them 5th in the NL West. Colorado is the money line underdog at +189, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Friday’s starting pitching matchup features Ryan Feltner for the Rockies and Frankie Montas for the Brewers. Montas has a 3.28 ERA this season, while Feltner has made just one start and has a 9.00 ERA. In the NL Central, the Brewers are 4.5 games up on the Reds, while the Cubs are 5.5 games back.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats

• The Rockies are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Ezequiel Tovar had a big game at the plate in the Rockies’ most recent game vs. the Braves, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring three runs. The Rockies really needed a big game from Tovar, as they were the +232 underdog on the money line. Colorado’s offense scored their only three runs in the 2nd inning and held on for the 3-1 win.

Austin Gomber put together a good start for the Rockies, going eight innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk. The Rockies also got a big game from Ezequiel Tovar, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring three runs.

Colorado is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are 52-89 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West. So far, they are 32.5 games behind the Dodgers for the lead in the NL West. The Rockies have really struggled vs. other NL West teams, going 15-28 this year.

The Rockies have dropped two straight series, and they are 10-31-4 in series this year. As the road underdog, they are 20-52 this year compared to 32-37 at home. So far, they are just 2-2 as the favorite this year.

When the Rockies are on the road, they have a run line record of 33-39, which is a -1.5 run differential. They have a -2.2 run differential overall on the road, which is worse than their -0.8 run differential at home. As the underdog, they have a run line record of 68-69.

The Rockies are on the road against the Brewers today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged a combined 10 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 69-69. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 10 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 9-5. The Rockies have had 121 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs this season, accounting for 85.8% of their games. They have had just six games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, or 4.3% of their games. The under has hit in each of their last four games.

Ryan Feltner is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he gets the start for the Rockies today vs. the Brewers. In that outing, he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up five earned runs, six hits, and one homer. Feltner finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back over his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision in each outing. Feltner has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 1-10 with a 5.11 ERA. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.84 strikeouts and 2.86 walks.

So far this season, the Rockies offense has been one of the league’s best home teams, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 15th best slugging percentage in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is their team’s strikeout numbers, as they are 27th in the league in this category.

Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar come into the game as the Rockies’ top two hitters in terms of batting average, and they are also tied for the team lead in home runs. Doyle is also the team’s current leader in RBIs. Ryan McMahon is also near the top of the home run and RBI leaderboards, with 17 homers and 59 RBIs. McMahon is also on a six-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Over his last seven games, Brendan Rodgers is hitting .310 with three homers.

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Cardinals scored one run in the top of the 8th to tie things up. Milwaukee was the -120 favorite at home going into the game.

Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits. The Brewers’s offense was carried by Eric Haase, who went 1/4 with a homer.

Milwaukee is 81-59 overall and leads the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs. The Brewers are coming off back-to-back losses and dropped two of three in their series vs. the Cardinals. At home, the Brewers are 41-27 this year and 40-32 on the road.

As the favorite, the Brewers are 47-34 this year and 34-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 25-16-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their record over the past 10 games is 6-4.

The Brewers have gone 33-35 against the run line at home this season, with an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 40 of their 59 games as the underdog, but have gone just 32-49 against the run line when favored.

When the Brewers are at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, but today’s line is 7.5. This season, Milwaukee games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 74-57. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 22 of their 31 games. Overall, 74.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.

Frankie Montas will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Reds, Montas finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Montas has finished with a no-decision in two of them and has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last three outings. Montas’ ERA for the season is 4.70, along with a record of 6-9. Out of his 25 starts, Montas has seven quality starts and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

Coming into today’s game, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.9. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, the Brewers are 8th in team batting average at .251 and are 3rd in on-base percentage. The team’s collective on-base percentage is .330.

Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 29 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. Adames also comes into the game with a team-high 100 RBIs. Catcher William Contreras is batting .278 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 80 RBIs. Over his last five games, Jackson Chourio has gone 8/19 with three homers.

Our prediction for this Rockies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the over, as we see the final score being 6-5 in favor of the Brewers. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, there is a lot of cushion on both sides, and we have the Brewers winning a high-scoring game.

Offensively, we have the Brewers finishing with nine hits compared to the Rockies with nine. However, the Rockies have a lower projected home run total than the Brewers, with the Rockies finishing with five and the Brewers with six.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Frankie Montas has the second-best chance of picking up a win today, and his strikeout projection is six. As for Ryan Feltner, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters.

With the money line payout not being great for the Brewers, we recommend taking the over, as we have the payout at -115.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Colorado Rockies Injury Report