Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 8/18/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

At 2:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Brewers face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-122). The Guardians are +104, and their money line odds have a payout of -122. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Cleveland comes in with a record of 72-51 and they are 1st in the AL Central, while the Brewers are 71-52 and they are 1st in the NL Central. Ben Lively is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. Milwaukee is currently on a four-game winning streak.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Guardians in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Brewers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Guardians have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Guardians series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -125 and squeaked out a 2-1 win. The Brewers offense only had four hits but took advantage of a good outing from Freddy Peralta, who went six innings and gave up just one hit and one earned run.

Cleveland’s lone run came in the 4th inning, and they finished the game with just four hits and seven strikeouts. Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up three hits and one earned run.

Devin Williams closed things out for the Brewers, getting the save. William Contreras also had a good game at the plate for Milwaukee, going 1/3 with a home run.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland is on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first two games of their series vs. the Brewers. Currently, the Guardians lead the AL Central by two games over the Twins. So far, they are 21-17 in the division and 72-51 overall.

At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this season and are just over .500 at 34-31 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has been good this year, going 50-26, and they are 22-25 as the underdog. On the road, the Guardians have dropped two straight games as the underdog.

The Guardians are 34-31 against the run line on the road this season, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game. They are 4-0 against the run line in their last four games as an underdog and 28-19 overall in that role this season.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is exactly in line with the Cleveland Guardians’ season average, as they have played to an average of 8.5 runs per game this year. The Guardians have gone 17-15 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and 53.7% of their games have had lower lines than today’s total.

Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Lively has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-7 with a 3.71 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has a WHIP of 1.21 and has issued 3 walks per nine innings compared to 7.34 strikeouts. Lively’s last outing came on August 12th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 32 homers are 5th in the league and Naylor’s 27 is 9th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 2nd most RBIs in the league (100), while Naylor is 5th in the league with 89 RBIs. Over his last five games, Jhonkensy Noel has also been swinging a hot bat, going 4/15 with three homers.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the better hitting teams in the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts. Overall, they are batting .239, which is 14th in the league, and have the 12th most homers in the league. As a team, they are 7th in home runs and 13th in team OPS.

Milwaukee is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 71-52, which has them leading the NL Central. Currently, the Brewers hold a 10-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. Milwaukee has won four straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10.

At home, the Brewers are 37-24 this season and have gone 34-28 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 39-28 this year and 32-24 as the underdog. The Brewers have been playing well at home, as they have won four straight, and their overall series record is 21-14-4.

The Brewers have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 64-59, but they have been better on the road, where they are 35-27. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 38-18, compared to 26-41 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, with a scoring margin of +1.0 runs per game on the road and +0.6 runs per game at home.

The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-50. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 26-19. Overall, 22.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Colin Rea today vs. the Guardians. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.72 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. Looking back at his last outing, Rea took the loss vs. the Dodgers, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Braves with seven scoreless innings of work. Rea has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Brewers, going 6/20 in his last six games with four homers. For the season, he is batting .284 with 17 home runs. Willy Adames is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 84 RBIs are 8th in the MLB. Adames has also gone deep 22 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 14th in the league.

As a team, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .253 (6th) and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league. Milwaukee also comes into the game with a collective batting average on balls in play of .31, which is 2nd in the league.

The best way to play this one is to take the Brewers on the money line, where they are currently sitting at -122. We have the Brewers taking this one by a score of 6-5, and with the over/under line being set at 8.5 runs, we see this as a good spot to take the Brewers straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Colin Rea finishing with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Ben Lively, he is projected to finish with four K’s as well. However, Lively is one of the worst pitchers in terms of projected earned runs allowed.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report