Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 8/17/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Guardians and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Guardians are currently leading the AL Central, while the Brewers are first in the NL Central.

Cleveland comes in with a record of 72-50, while the Brewers are 70-52, and they are favored on the money line today at -115. The money line odds have the Guardians at -104, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. Tanner Bibee is starting for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Guardians are 2-3. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• The Guardians are 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
• The Brewers have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 6-4.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Guardians series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -107 and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a win.

Cleveland’s starting pitcher, Gavin Williams, went just four innings and gave up five runs while taking the loss. Aaron Civale put together a good outing for the Brewers, getting the win after going six innings and not giving up a run.

Jose Ramirez and David Fry each homered for the Guardians, while Willy Adames went deep for the Brewers. Ramirez finished the game 1/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Cleveland heads into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central, leading the Twins by three games. Overall, the Guardians have a record of 72-50 through 122 games. The Guardians are 21-17 against other teams in the AL Central.

So far, the Guardians have been good at home, going 38-20. On the road, they are 34-30 this season. As the favorite, Cleveland is 50-26 this year and 22-24 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 23-11-5.

When betting the run line on the Cleveland Guardians, it’s important to note that they have a run line record of 60-62 on the season. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 33-31 against the run line compared to 27-31 at home. Their average run differential on the road is +0.5 runs per game, while it’s +0.8 runs per game at home.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played 83 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which accounts for 68.0% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 58-55. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-16.

Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.39 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Looking back further, he has given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .222 off Bibee this season. Per nine innings, he has 9.68 strikeouts and just 2.19 walks.

Cleveland comes into today’s game averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offense at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and are 12th in home runs. The Guardians have been tough to strike out this season, with the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

José Ramírez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 100 RBIs are 2nd in the league. He has also gone deep 32 times, which is 6th in the MLB. Over his last seven games, Will Brennan is batting .440, and Jhonkensy Noel has three homers in his last six games but is batting just .222 in that stretch.

Milwaukee is currently 70-52 overall this season, and they lead the NL Central by 10 games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have won three straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Guardians. In divisional games, the Brewers are 25-14 this year.

At home, the Brewers are 36-24 this season while going 34-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers are 32-24 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s series record is 21-14-4 this year.

The Brewers are 29-31 against the run line at home this season, and their average run margin in those games is +0.6. They are 35-27 against the run line on the road, with an average run margin of +1.0. Overall, Milwaukee is 64-58 against the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.8. They have covered the run line in three straight games, and they are 38-18 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Brewers are playing at home against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. Milwaukee’s games have had an average run total of 8.8 this season, and their over/under record is 66-49. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-6. Overall, 75.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Brewers vs. the Guardians today. In that start vs. the Dodgers, Peralta took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Peralta has allowed at least two homers in three of those outings. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 4.11, along with a record of 7-7. For the year, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .218 vs. Peralta this season.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they are 3rd in the league in walks. Overall, they are 7th in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.

Willy Adames and William Contreras are the Brewers’ top two home run hitters this season, and both have been swinging the bat well of late. Adames is on a five-game hitting streak and is 7/19 in his last five games, while Contreras is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 5/17 in that stretch with three homers.

Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -115. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5. As for the over/under, we would take the over at 7.5 runs, as we see there being a total of 11 runs scored in this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for 11th among all starters today. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is eighth among all starters.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report