Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Betting Tips 6/14/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Reds and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Friday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Reds are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 33-35, while the Brewers are 40-28 overall and 1st in the NL Central.

Friday’s money line odds have the Brewers as the favorite at -137, while the odds for a Reds win are sitting at +116. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and Hunter Greene is starting for the Reds, while the Brewers are going with Freddy Peralta.

Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Cincinnati Reds odds

Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• 4-1 is the record of Reds in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Brewers have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Brewers have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Reds have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Reds closed out the series with a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -112 on the money line. Offensively, the Reds scored their four runs on just six hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Nick Lodolo put together a good start for the Reds, going six innings and giving up just two runs on seven hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Cincinnati is 33-35 overall and trails the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. The Reds will be on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are 7-6 in divisional games this year. Cincinnati has won four straight games on the road, and they are 15-16 overall as the road team.

As the Reds get set to kick off their series with the Brewers, they are 8-2 across their last 10 games, which is the best mark in the NL Central. This season, the Reds are 18-19 at home compared to 15-16 on the road. Cincinnati has been the favorite in 31 of their games, and they are 18-13 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, the Reds are 15-22 this year. Their overall series record is 8-12-2 and they have won two straight series on the road.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 36-32 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 21-10. Their average run differential on the road is +0.8 runs per game, while their average run differential overall is +0.2 runs per game.

When the Cincinnati Reds are on the road, the over/under line is usually set higher than 7.5 runs. In fact, 79.4% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and they have a 30-35 over/under record on the year. The under has hit in their last five games.

Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Cubs and picked up the win. In that start, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and coming away with the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Greene has made 13 starts, and his record for the season is 4-2. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.61, a WHIP of 1.15, and opponents are batting .203 off him this year. Greene has one complete game and five quality starts this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.78 strikeouts and 3.72 walks.

Jeimer Candelario has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Reds, going 9/28 in his last seven games with four homers and eight RBIs. Overall, he is batting .243 with 11 homers, which is tied for the team lead. Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz are also among the league leaders in home runs, with Steer’s 41 RBIs being the best mark on the team and 11th in the MLB.

Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road this season. As a team, they are batting just .226 and are 14th in home runs. Currently, they are 20th in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Brewers closed out the series with a 5-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big 6th inning that turned things in their favor, as the Brewers scored five runs in the inning. The Blue Jays could only score one run in the 7th, and the Brewers’s bullpen closed things out by picking up the save.

Tobias Myers put together a good start for the Brewers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Willy Adames, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee is hosting the Reds with an overall record of 40-28, good or 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a 6.5-game lead over the Cardinals for the division lead. So far, they have gone 16-8 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Brewers are 20-11 this year and have gone 20-17 on the road. Milwaukee has won seven straight games as the favorite, and they are 21-12 when favored this year. As for their record as the home favorite, the Brewers are 15-6 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 13-7-2 and have won two straight series.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. They are 23-12 against the run line as the underdog, but just 12-21 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 35-33, with a +0.9 run differential per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been a solid over team this season, with a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 37-29, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 9 of 13 games. Overall, 73.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Tigers, he went just 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, four hits, and five walks. Peralta finished with a no-decision in the outing. In his 13 starts, Peralta has a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 3.95. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has a WHIP of 1.13 and is averaging 11.72 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has made five quality starts this season.

William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, coming in with a batting average of .305, which is 2nd on the team. He also has a team-high 47 RBIs and is on a seven-game hitting streak. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are also near the top of the Brewers’ home run leaderboard, with Adames leading the team with 11 homers and Hoskins right behind him at 10.

As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and have the best batting average in the league.

Our prediction for this Reds vs. Brewers matchup is that the Brewers will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the money line sitting at -137, this is the best way to go about placing a bet on this game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta is projected to have a solid outing and is actually our top pitcher in terms of picking up a win. As for Hunter Greene, he does have a good strikeout projection, but his projected earned runs are high, and he is only projected to go four innings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Reds (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report