Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Betting Tips 8/9/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Reds and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 8:10 PM ET. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -136. The Reds have a money line payout of +115, and their starter is Carson Spiers. Milwaukee will be starting Aaron Civale.

Friday’s forecast in Milwaukee calls for thunderstorms, with temperatures in the mid-70s. Cincinnati is 56-59 this season, and they are 4th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 65-49 and have won three straight. APLTV is carrying this one on TV.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Reds have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Brewers have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Reds have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati closed out their series vs. the Marlins with an impressive 10-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -183. It was a seven-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Marlins could only score three runs in the bottom of the 10th to make things look a little closer. The Reds’ offense was carried by TJ Friedl, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Hunter Greene started for the Reds, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Cincinnati is 56-59 overall and is 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds will be on the road today, taking on the Brewers. Cincinnati is 14-15 against other teams in the NL Central this season.

The Reds have been good at home, going 28-31, and they are at 28-28 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 56 games, going 30-26 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Reds are 26-33 this season.

When the Reds are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 35-21. Their average run margin on the road is +0.9, and they have a run line record of 36-23 when they are the underdog.

When the Cincinnati Reds are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs. The Reds and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and Cincinnati’s over/under record is 53-58 overall. The average over/under line for Reds games this season is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 12 of 21 games. The over has hit in six straight Reds games.

Right-hander Carson Spiers gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made seven starts and 12 total appearances. Spiers’ record for the season is 4-3, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.59. Looking at his overall numbers, Spiers has a WHIP of 1.16 and has issued just 1.72 walks per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up three earned runs and took the loss in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Elly De La Cruz has been on a tear over his last nine games, going 13/39 with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .269 with 20 homers and 50 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but both are batting just .228 this season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game and come into the game as the league’s 10th-ranked home run hitting team. Overall, they are just 20th in batting average, hitting just .231. Currently, the Reds have several players on a hitting streak, with Candelario leading the way at six games.

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 16-7 win. After allowing three runs to the Braves in the 3rd, the Brewers responded with another three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.

Elvis Peguero picked up the win out of the bullpen for the Brewers, as Milwaukee scored 10 runs in the top of the 9th. The Brewers were the +112 underdog going into this road game.

Milwaukee will host the Reds with a record of 65-49, putting them seven games ahead of the Cardinals for the NL Central lead. The Brewers have won three straight games, closing out their series vs. the Braves with a three-game winning streak. So far, they have gone 23-13 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 31-21 this year, and they have gone 34-28 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 36-27 this year and 29-22 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 19-14-3 and they have dropped four straight series at home.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home this season. They are 35-27 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 25-27 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 35-16 vs. the run line in those games. They are 25-38 vs. the run line as the favorite.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season, as their games have gone over the total in 63 of 109 games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. The over has hit in 24 of 42 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, and the over has cashed in each of their last three games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .268 off Civale this year, and he has only turned in four quality starts. In his last outing, Civale took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Civale has a WHIP of 1.41 this season.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been a very consistent offensive team this season, as they are also 5th in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league. Overall, they are 12th in slugging percentage and have the league’s best on-base percentage.

Willy Adames has been a big power threat for the Brewers this season, as his 20 homers lead the team and is 13th in the league. Over his last six games, he has gone 8/24 with three homers. Rhys Hoskins is also a power threat, but he is batting just .229 for the season. However, he does have 19 homers, which is 2nd on the team.

We see the Reds coming away with a 5-4 road win over the Brewers today. Given the payout, we would recommend taking the Reds on the money line, where they are sitting at +115.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with six strikeouts compared to Carson Spiers with six as well. However, Civale is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Spiers, and we have him finishing with a win in 11th among starters.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips

• We like the Reds on the moneyline (+115)
• The Reds are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report