Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the White Sox and Brewers face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the heavy favorites on the money line (-155). The White Sox are 15-43 overall, which has them in 5th place in the AL Central, while the Brewers are 34-23 and have won three straight. Robert Gasser will start for the Brewers, while the White Sox are sending Garrett Crochet to the mound.
The over/under line for Saturday’s game is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSWI. Chicago is the +131 underdog on the money line, while the Brewers are -155.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Chicago White Sox odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the White Sox have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- The Brewers have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a straight-up record of 1-9 and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the White Sox by a score of 12-5. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the White Sox and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -182 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Erick Fedde for the White Sox. Myers only went 4 1/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Fedde was tagged for four homers and four runs in five innings of work.
Milwaukee’s two through five hitters did the most damage, as Christian Yelich, Sal Frelick, Brice Turang, and William Contreras each had three hits and combined for nine RBIs. Yelich, Jake Bauers, and Rhys Hoskins each homered for the Brewers’ offense.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
With a record of 15-43, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central, 23.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. Chicago is on a nine-game losing streak, and they are just 5-19 in divisional games this year. So far, they have dropped four straight series and have an overall series record of 4-13-1.
At home, the White Sox are just 10-21 this year, and they have gone 5-22 on the road. Chicago has really struggled in day games, going 5-20 this year. As the underdog, the White Sox are 13-43 this year, and they are 2-0 as the favorite. Their overall mark in the last 10 games is 1-9.
Chicago has been a poor run line bet on the road this season, going 8-19. The White Sox have lost their last two road run line bets and have failed to cover in nine of their last 11 games overall. They have been a run line underdog in 56 of their 58 games and have covered the run line in just two games as a favorite.
Chicago White Sox games have gone over the 7.5 run total in 7 of 18 games this season when the line was set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 26-30. The average over/under line in their games this season has been set at 8 runs, and 60.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 5-5 to go along with an ERA of 3.67. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is .93, and opponents are batting .188 this year. In his 12 appearances, Crochet has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 12.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Crochet’s last outing came on May 26th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 2.9 runs per game. This includes batting a collective .215 and an on-base percentage of only .277. The White Sox are also last in the league in home runs and have the league’s worst slugging percentage and OPS. Paul DeJong and Eloy Jiménez are tied for the team lead with eight homers, but both are hitting below .240 for the season.
Andrew Vaughn and Gavin Sheets are tied for 1st on the team with 19 RBIs, but Vaughn is batting just .199, and Sheets is only slightly better at .236. Vaughn has gone 6/25 in his last seven games, while Sheets has gone 5/26 in his last eight games.
Milwaukee is hosting the White Sox today with an overall record of 34-23, which has them leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have won three straight games, and they took the first game of this series vs. the White Sox. In divisional games, the Brewers have an impressive record of 16-8 this year.
At home, the Brewers are 16-10 this year and have gone 18-13 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 16-12 this year and 18-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 10-6-2 and have won two straight series.
While the Brewers have been a solid run line bet overall, they have been especially good on the road, going 19-12. They have been a run line underdog in most of those games, going 21-8 in that role. Their average run margin in wins is +3.7, while it is -2.9 in losses.
In Milwaukee’s last 10 games, the over has hit 7 times, and the over/under record for the season is 33-24. The average combined run total in their games is 9.3, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5. When the line is set at 7.5, the over has gone 8-4 in their games this season. The over has hit in 71.9% of their games this season, and the over has hit in their last 4 games.
Robert Gasser is getting the start for the Brewers at home against the White Sox. He has been solid in his first two outings, picking up a win in his first start and then going 6 innings and striking out 7 in his last start vs. the Cubs.
As a team, the Brewers are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. Milwaukee has been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s best on-base percentage and batting average.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras batting .323 with 8 homers and Adames at 9 homers but with a batting average of just .256. Adames has been hot of late, going 9/26 in his last seven games with two homers. Rhys Hoskins also has nine homers but is batting just .239.
Our prediction for today’s White Sox vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -155. We have the Brewers winning this game by a score of 5-4. At -155, the payout isn’t huge, but we still see this as a good value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Robert Gasser finishing with five strikeouts, which is actually one less than Garrett Crochet. However, we have Gasser finishing with a better ERA and getting the win compared to Crochet.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Trevor Megill | Questionable | Arm |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Luis Robert Jr. | Out | Hip |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Shane Drohan | Out | Shoulder |
