Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 6/28/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Preview

The Cubs and Brewers are set to face off in an NL Central matchup at 8:10 PM ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee. The money line odds have the Brewers at -136 compared to the Cubs at +117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Jameson Taillon will go for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Colin Rea. The Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, while the Brewers are 1st with a record of 48-33. Milwaukee will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak. MARQ is carrying this game on TV.

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Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cubs have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Brewers have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
• Looking at the Cubs’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 3-7 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Nico Hoerner had a big game at the plate in the Cubs’ most recent game vs. the Giants, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Cubs really broke things open with a three-run 3rd inning and added another two runs in the 6th to pick up the 5-3 win. Chicago was the slight underdog at -110 going into the game.

Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up three runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Chicago is 38-44 overall, putting them 5th in the NL Central, 10.5 games behind the Brewers. The Cubs are just 9-17 in divisional games this year. They are opening a new series today vs. the Brewers and are on the road, where they are 16-26 this year.

As the underdog, the Cubs are 18-24 this season, which includes dropping two straight as the underdog. They are an even 20-20 when favored. Chicago’s overall series record is 9-14-2, and they dropped their last two series vs. the Marlins and Giants.

The Cubs have been a better bet on the run line on the road this season, going 24-18. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 28-14 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.9, while it is -3.1 in losing games.

When the Chicago Cubs are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the Cubs have a 35-44 over/under record, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have a 9-7 over/under record. In 23 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 28.0% of their contests.

Right-hander Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with a 2.90 ERA. Taillon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Taillon picked up the win vs. the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Per nine innings, Taillon has 6.98 strikeouts and just 2.11 walks.

Chicago’s offense has been below average this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of batting average, as their team mark of .230 is 19th in the MLB. The Cubs do come into the game with a few hitters on some nice streaks, as Cody Bellinger has hits in nine straight games, and both Nico Hoerner and Michael Busch have five-game hitting streaks.

Over his last 10 games, Ian Happ has three home runs and nine RBIs, while batting .257. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 42 RBIs and is batting just .228. Christopher Morel leads the Cubs with 15 homers but is batting only .201.

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the 2nd, the Brewers responded with four runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Dallas Keuchel had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Brewers’s bullpen was able to pick up the slack, though, as they didn’t allow a run over the final three innings. Milwaukee was the slight underdog at -101 going into the game.

Milwaukee is hosting the Cubs today with a record of 48-33, putting them in 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers lead the Cardinals by 6.5 games for the division lead. They come into today’s game having won four straight games, and they are 18-9 against other teams in the NL Central this year.

At home, the Brewers are 25-12 this year and have gone 23-21 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the home favorite, putting together a mark of 19-7. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 15-8-2, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with three straight wins.

The Brewers have a run line record of 43-38 this season, including an 18-19 mark at home. They have a run line record of 25-19 on the road, and their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game. They have covered the run line in their last three home games and are 26-13 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Chicago Cubs. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below the teams’ combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. The Brewers have played 78 games this season, and 44 of them have gone over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 21 of the 35 games. Overall, 16% of Milwaukee’s games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Cubs. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with a 3.62 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Rea finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Rea has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.78 ERA compared to 4.53 on the road.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 5th in batting average and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s offense has been led by Willy Adames and William Contreras, who are 1-2 on the team in home runs and are also the team’s top two hitters in terms of RBIs.

Rhys Hoskins comes into the game with 11 home runs but is batting just .221 for the season. However, he has gone deep in two of his last seven games. Brice Turang has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/35 in his last eight games with a homer and seven RBIs.

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Brewers. With the money line payout for a Brewers win sitting at -136, we see this as a great payout and would recommend locking it in.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jameson Taillon finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the sixth worst among today’s starters. As for the Brewers’ Colin Rea, we have him finishing with five K’s, and he is projected to finish with the fourth fewest hits allowed among today’s starters.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• Take the Brewers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report