Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Preview
The money line odds for Wednesday’s Cubs vs. Brewers matchup have the Cubs favored at -135 compared to the Brewers at +114. This one is being played at 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 31-23, while the Cubs are 2nd at 28-27.
The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the forecasted starters are Shota Imanaga for the Cubs and Bryse Wilson for the Brewers. BSWI will be televising this one, and the money line odds and odds for the Cubs and Brewers are +114 and -154, respectively.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Chicago Cubs odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cubs have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games, the Cubs have a 4-6 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 0-10 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.
Chicago picked up a 6-3 road win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their six runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Brewers got on the board with three runs in the 9th.
Ben Brown started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, giving up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger each homered for the Cubs, while Miguel Amaya went 2/4 with two RBIs. Ian Happ also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
With a record of 28-27, the Cubs are 3.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 6-8 in divisional games and have lost four straight series. Chicago is just 3-7 over their last 10 games and are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Brewers.
At home, the Cubs have gone 15-11 this season, and they are just below .500 at 13-16 on the road. As the favorite, the Cubs are 12-10 this year and 16-17 as the underdog. This season, the Cubs have dropped three straight games as the favorite.
When the Cubs win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.1, while in losses it’s -3.4. That’s why they are 29-26 on the run line this season. They have covered the run line in 18 of their 29 wins, but they have only covered the run line in 11 of their 26 losses. They are 23-10 against the run line as an underdog this season, but just 6-16 as a favorite. They are currently on a run line losing streak as the favorite, failing to cover in 13 straight games.
When the Chicago Cubs are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs for their game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Cubs have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 23-30. The average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-7. In 61.8% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made six quality starts in his nine outings and comes into the game with a record of 5-0 and ERA of 0.84. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.91. The left-hander has been especially tough on the road, with a record of 3-0 and ERA of 0.36. In his most recent outing, Imanaga went seven innings, giving up zero earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss since April 14th.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is also 14th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .227 and are 16th in home runs. Chicago has been good at drawing walks this season and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Christopher Morel has been a bright spot for the Cubs this season, leading the team with 9 homers and 33 RBIs. However, he is batting just .197. Michael Busch has also been a key power source for the Cubs, as he has gone deep 8 times this season, which is 10th in the league. However, he is batting just .241 and is on a tough stretch, going 3/18 in his last eight games.
Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by 3.5 games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 31-23 overall and have gone 14-8 against other teams in their division. So far, they are 13-10 at home compared to an 18-13 mark on the road. As the underdog, Milwaukee is 17-11 this year and 4-4 as the home underdog.
The Brewers have an overall series record of 9-6-2 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. For the season, they are 14-12 as the favorite. The Brewers will be looking to take the series from the Cubs today after the two teams have split the first two games.
The Brewers have been a strong run line bet this season, going 28-26 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 19-12 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 20-8 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Brewers games is 30-24, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 7-4. In 72.2% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.
Bryse Wilson is getting the start for the Brewers today and comes in with a record of 3-1 and ERA of 2.86. He has made six starts and two of them have been quality starts. Wilson’s most recent outing came out of the bullpen, where he picked up the win. In that appearance, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three starts, Wilson has finished with a no-decision in each outing. The right-hander has been solid on the road, going 3-0 with an 8.55 ERA compared to 0-1 with a 2.96 ERA at home.
William Contreras has been the Brewers’ top hitter this season, batting .324 with a team-high eight home runs and 43 RBIs. Willy Adames is also tied for 2nd on the team with eight homers and comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Adames is batting .303.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 6th best team batting average in the league.
Our pick for this Cubs vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at +114. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 6-5. Given the payout, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryse Wilson going for the Brewers and Shota Imanaga for the Cubs. Wilson’s projected strikeout numbers are low, but we have him finishing with a better ERA than Imanaga.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+114)
- On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Rhys Hoskins | Out | Hamstring |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Trevor Megill | Questionable | Arm |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Back |
| Keegan Thompson | Out | Illness |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Ribs |
| Daniel Palencia | Out | Shoulder |
| Caleb Kilian | Out | Teres Major |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Forearm |
