Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 7/31/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Preview

At 2:10 PM ET, the Braves and Brewers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (+110). The money line odds have the Braves at -130.

Wednesday’s forecast looks good in Milwaukee, with temperatures in the low 80s and partly cloudy skies. Chris Sale will start for the Braves, and he will be facing off against Freddy Peralta. The Braves are 57-49 and 2nd in the NL East, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 61-46.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• The Brewers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a runline record of 5-5.
• When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 5-5 over their last ten games.

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Brewers series took place on the road for Atlanta. The Braves went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -107 and picked up a 5-1 win. Heading into the game, the Braves had lost the previous two games of the series.

Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring four runs in the 3rd inning. On the other side, the Brewers got on the board with one run in the 7th. Both teams went scoreless in the 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th, and 6th innings.

Jarred Kelenic and Austin Riley each had two hits and an RBI for the Braves. Orlando Arcia also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Atlanta’s offense.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

With a record of 57-49, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 7.5 games. So far, they have gone 16-14 in divisional matchups. The Braves will be on the road today, taking on the Brewers and are 27-28 on the road this season.

Atlanta has dropped four straight games as the favorite, and they are 50-38 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Braves are 7-11. Their overall series record is 18-13-4, and they have lost two straight series at home.

When betting the run line for the Braves, you might want to consider the fact that they are only 48-58 on the run line this season. They are 27-28 on the run line when playing on the road, and they have failed to cover the run line in their last five games when they are the favorite. Their average run differential on the season is +0.5 runs per game.

The Braves are on the road against the Brewers today, with the over/under set at 7 runs. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 38-63. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 2-4. So far this season, 94.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 13-3 with a 2.69 ERA. Sale’s WHIP for the season is currently .92, and opponents are batting .191 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Sale finished with a no-decision, going 7 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on nine hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Sale has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 8-0 and 3.40 ERA.

Marcell Ozuna has been a big run producer for the Braves this season, as his 84 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB and lead the team. He also has a team-high 31 homers and is batting .305. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/22 with three homers in his last six games. Not to be outdone, Austin Riley has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/26 in his last six games.

As a team, the Braves are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also below average in terms of on-base percentage and have the 24th worst walk rate in the league. Overall, the Braves offense is batting a combined .240.

Milwaukee currently leads the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 61-46 overall and have gone 23-13 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been .500 on the road, going 30-26, and they are 31-20 at home.

The Brewers have won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 26-21 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 35-25 this year. At home, the Brewers’ series record is 19-12-3 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road.

The Brewers are 56-51 on the run line this season, and they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 32-15. They are 25-26 on the run line at home this season and have covered the run line in six straight games as the underdog.

The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Atlanta Braves. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than the Brewers’ average combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Brewers have gone over the total in 57 of their 102 games this season, and their average over/under line for the year is 8 runs per game.

Freddy Peralta is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Marlins, he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss in the game. Looking back over his last three starts, Peralta has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. One of the big issues for Peralta this year has been the long ball, as he has allowed 16 homers. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a record of 6-6. For the year, he has made eight quality starts and is averaging 11.18 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 17 homers leads the team and is 8th in the league, and Contreras is 4th on the team with 11 homers. Adames also leads the team with 71 RBIs, while Contreras is 2nd on the team with 57. Rhys Hoskins has also been a big power threat, as his 18 homers is 13th in the league and tops on the Brewers. However, he is batting just .220 for the season.

Over his last eight games, Jackson Chourio has gone 11/31 (.355) with three homers, and Rhys Hoskins has four homers in his last nine games. Hoskins also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Our pick for this Braves vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +110. With our predicted final score being 5-4 in favor of the Brewers, you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Freddy Peralta, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, and his chances to pick up a win are right in the middle of the pack.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report