Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 7/29/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Preview

At 8:10 PM ET, the Braves and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-123). The money line odds for an Atlanta win are sitting at +105.

Monday’s forecast in Milwaukee calls for partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves, and the Brewers are starting Colin Rea. Milwaukee is 1st in the NL Central, while the Braves are 2nd in the NL East. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and BSSO is carrying this game on TV.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Trends and Key Stats

• The Braves are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Brewers have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
• The Braves have a 1-9 straight-up record and a 1-9 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mets, closing out their series with a 9-2 win. After scoring four runs in the 4th inning, the Braves added another three runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Atlanta was the slight favorite at -106 on the money line going into the game.

Reynaldo Lopez put together a good start for the Braves, going three innings and not giving up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Braves are 56-48 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East, 8.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Braves have won two straight games, and they are 16-14 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Braves are 30-21 this year, and they are just above .500 at 26-27 on the road. Atlanta has an overall series record of 18-13-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 26-27. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 8-8 as an underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +0.7 runs per game.

The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves’ games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 37-62. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-18. Overall, 34.6% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Grant Holmes will be making a spot start for the Braves today, as he is currently in the bullpen. The right-hander has made 10 appearances this season and has a record of 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA. Opponents have hit .195 off Holmes this season, and his WHIP is currently .94. In his last outing, Holmes went 3 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. He has not allowed a home run in his last three outings. Holmes has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances.

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 12/37 in his last 10 games with four home runs. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .306 with 30 homers and 82 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Matt Olson is also near the top of the Braves’ home run leaderboard, with 15 this season, but he is batting just .227.

Overall, the Braves are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 20th ranked scoring offense at 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239 and have the league’s 13th ranked on-base percentage. Atlanta’s team on-base percentage of .303 is also 19th in the MLB.

Jake Bauers had a big game at the plate in the Brewers’s most recent game vs. the Marlins, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs. The Brewers really broke things open with a four-run 1st inning and went on to pick up a json 6-2 win. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Brewers were at -212 at home.

Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers, going four innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Milwaukee is currently leading the NL Central by six games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are 60-45 overall and have gone 23-13 in divisional matchups. They will host the Braves today with an overall record of 30-19 at home and 30-26 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 34-24 this year and 26-21 as the underdog.

The Brewers dropped two of three games in their series vs. the Marlins. This came after taking two of three vs. the Reds. Looking at their overall numbers, the Brewers have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games. Today’s game will be the start of a new series, and the Brewers’ series record is 19-12-3 this year.

When betting the run line with the Brewers, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 32-15 against the run line in those games. The Brewers have a run line record of 55-50 overall, and their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Brewers this season is 56-44, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Brewers have a record of 23-17, and 20.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Braves at home. Rea has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.60 ERA. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Cubs on July 23rd, Rea went five innings, giving up just two hits and two walks while striking out eight. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts.

The Brewers come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in the league in scoring and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. As a team, they have been very good at getting on base, as they are 3rd in walks and have the league’s 2nd best BABIP.

William Contreras has been a key run producer for the Brewers this season, as his 57 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. He is also batting .286 for the season and has gone deep 11 times. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins have been the Brewers’ top power threats, with Adames having 16 homers and Hoskins at 17. Both players are also on 4-game hitting streaks, with Hoskins going 6/20 in his last 7 games.

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-4 in favor of the Braves, and with the Braves at +105 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. We actually have the Braves as the third best team in terms of runs scored today, and with the Brewers, we have them finishing with the seventh-fewest runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Colin Rea finishing with just five strikeouts and his team, the Brewers, finishing with nine. If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, we have Rea as the 12th best option among today’s starters.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• We like the Braves on the moneyline (+105)
• The Braves are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report