Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 9/22/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an NL matchup between the Diamondbacks and Brewers. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -122. Arizona has won four straight and is 87-68 overall, while the Brewers are 88-67.

First pitch for this one is set for 2:10 PM ET, and BSWI will be televising this one. Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Jordan Montgomery for the Diamondbacks and Frankie Montas for the Brewers.

Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – Arizona Diamondbacks odds

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• 4-1 is the record of Diamondbacks in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Brewers have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
• The Brewers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Diamondbacks’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 3-7 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.

Arizona cruised to a 5-0 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their three runs and cruised to the easy win. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -107 on the money line.

Merrill Kelly started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did not issue a walk. Aaron Civale had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Ketel Marte and Joc Pederson each homered for the Diamondbacks, while Jose Herrera went 1/4 with an RBI in his first game back from the minors. Marte, Pederson, and Marte each scored two runs for Arizona’s offense.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 87-68 overall this season. The Diamondbacks are five games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone 26-20 in divisional games.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this year, and they have gone 45-35 on the road. Arizona has won four straight on the road, and they are 29-24 as road underdogs this year. The Diamondbacks have an overall series record of 26-19-4, and they have won two straight series.

Arizona is 47-33 on the run line on the road this season, and they have covered the run line in four straight road games. As an underdog, they are 46-28 on the run line this season, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 88-60 this season, and their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 34-19. Overall, 36.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Arizona is sending left-hander Jordan Montgomery to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 6.23 ERA. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.64, and opponents are batting .297 off him this year. In his 20 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.15 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Montgomery took the loss vs. the Rockies, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he didn’t allow a homer.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have the league’s top on-base percentage and OPS. They are also 2nd in team batting average and slugging percentage. Arizona has been a top home run hitting team this season and have a collective batting average of .264.

Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last nine games, including three home runs. For the season, he is batting .296 with 34 homers and 92 RBIs. Eugenio Suárez has also been a big power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he has 28 homers and 97 RBIs this season, but he is batting just .256.

Milwaukee is hosting the Diamondbacks today with an overall record of 88-67, and they lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs. The Brewers have dropped three straight games, and they are also losing three straight at home. So far, they have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.

This season, the Brewers are 44-33 at home compared to a 44-34 mark on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee has gone 51-37 and 37-30 as the underdog. The Brewers have an overall series record of 28-17-4, and they have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.

The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 78-77 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 43-35 against the run line. They have been a poor bet at home, going just 35-42 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 44-23 against the run line in those games. They have been a poor bet as a favorite, going just 34-54 against the run line.

The Milwaukee Brewers are at home today against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 78-67 on the season. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Brewers have a record of 30-24 in those games. So far this season, 30 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 19.4% of their games.

Frankie Montas is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. Against the Phillies, he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that outing, Montas had pitched well, going 6 innings in each of his previous two starts and not giving up more than three earned runs in either outing. Montas’ record for the season is 7-11, and his ERA is 4.50. Out of his 28 starts, Montas has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.62 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 7/17 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .284 with 23 home runs, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been a big run producer for the Brewers, as his 109 RBIs are the 5th most in the league, and he also leads the team with 32 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the MLB.

Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Brewers game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout being +103. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Frankie Montas finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 17th among starters. As for Jordan Montgomery, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is good for 20th.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks are actually one of the top teams in terms of projected hits, with them finishing with 10. As for the Brewers, they are projected to finish with just eight hits.

Our predicted home run leaders are the Diamondbacks, and we have them finishing with two, compared to the Brewers with one.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+103)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report