Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 9/20/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 8:10 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at +107. Arizona’s money line odds are at -126, and they are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 85-68.

Zac Gallen will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Brewers are sending Colin Rea to the mound. Milwaukee is currently 1st in the NL Central with an overall record of 88-65.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• In the Brewers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
• As the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

Arizona cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -126.

Brandon Pfaadt started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Tobias Myers got the start for the Brewers and took the loss, going just four innings and giving up one earned run.

Pavin Smith and Garrett Mitchell were the only two players in the game to homer. Smith, Josh Rojas, and Daulton Varsho each had two RBIs for the Diamondbacks’ offense.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Arizona is 85-68 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, six games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have gone 26-20 against other teams in the NL West. They have won two straight games, and they are 1-0 in the series vs. the Brewers.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-33 this year, and they are above .500 at 43-35 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 50-30 this year and 35-38 as the underdog. Arizona’s overall series record is 26-19-4, and they have lost two straight series.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 45-33. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 34-46 against the run line as the favorite. They have a run line record of 45-28 as the underdog.

The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Brewers today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Diamondbacks games this season is 10.3 runs, and their over/under record is 87-59. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 11-6-2. In 71.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs.

Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.61 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .232 off him this year. In his last outing, Gallen finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up a run. Gallen has 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.

Arizona’s top home run hitter this season is Ketel Marte, who has 32 long balls and is batting .289 for the season. Eugenio Suarez is batting just .254 but has 28 homers and has gone 15/39 in his last 10 games. He also has an RBI in nine of his last 10 games. Pavin Smith has also been hot of late, going 13/30 in his last 10 games, including four homers.

Milwaukee is 88-65 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They hold a 10-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. The Brewers have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central.

At home, the Brewers are 44-31 this season and 44-34 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers are 37-29 this year, and they are 51-36 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Brewers are 28-17-4 and have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road.

When betting the run line for the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they are 44-22 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while the run line is 34-53 when they are favored.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Brewers games this season is 8.8 runs per game. Milwaukee’s over/under record for the season is 77-66. The average over/under line for Brewers games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, Milwaukee’s record is 11-11-5. So far this season, 54.2% of the Brewers’ games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 4.14. Rea’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his last outing, Rea came out of the bullpen and went 2 2/3 innings, giving up no earned runs. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Rea’s ERA for the season is 3.80 at home compared to 5.07 on the road.

William Contreras has been one of the Brewers’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .280 with an on-base percentage of .363. His 22 homers are the 3rd most on the team. Willy Adames has a team-high 32 homers and is 4th in the league with 109 RBIs. However, he has gone just 4/19 in his last five games. Rhys Hoskins has also struggled this season, batting just .212.

Brice Turang has gone 8/23 in his last six games for the Brewers, while Garrett Mitchell has two homers in his last five games, going 5/16 in that stretch. Adames also has two homers in his last five games, but he is batting just .211 in that time frame.

With the Brewers being the underdogs at +107, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Brewers, giving you the option to also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Colin Rea going deeper into the game than Zac Gallen, and Rea is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Gallen’s six. Gallen is projected to finish with five hits allowed, while Rea is at nine.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+107)
• The Brewers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report