Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Preview
The Marlins will be hosting the Nationals tonight at loanDepot Park in Miami and will be looking to pick up just their seventh win of the season. However, they are the betting favorite over the Nationals, with a money line payout of -154. As for the Nationals, they are sitting at +127 on the money line.
Monday night’s pitching matchup features Jake Irvin for the Nationals and Trevor Rogers for the Marlins. Looking at the over/under line, it is currently at 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Washington Nationals odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- In the Marlins’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Marlins have a straight-up record of 2-8, while going 1-9 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Washington rallied for five runs in the 4th inning and added two more in the 8th as they picked up a 12-9 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring all five of their runs and picking up nine of their fourteen hits. As for the Marlins, they scored six of their nine runs in the 1st inning.
Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Derek Law got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save. Ryan Weathers only went four innings for the Marlins, giving up six runs on five hits.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Nick Senzel had a two-home run game for the Nationals, going 2/6 with five RBIs.
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction
Washington is on a three-game winning streak, and they are 13-14 overall this season. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Braves by 6.5 games. So far, they have gone 4-2 in divisional matchups. Washington has won four straight games on the road and is 9-6 overall this year.
As the road underdog, the Nationals have put together an 8-6 record this season. Washington has struggled at home, going just 4-8. So far, they have gone 1-1 as the favorite. As for their overall series record, the Nationals are 3-5 this year.
Washington has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 17-10 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 12-3 against the run line. The Nationals have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 16-9 as an underdog this season.
Washington’s over/under record for the season is now 11-15 after their last two games went over the total. The Nationals and Marlins combined for 21 runs in their last game, pushing the total over 8.5 runs. They also combined for 15 runs in the game before that, which had an over/under line of 7.5 runs.
Jake Irvin and the Nationals are on the road to take on the Marlins. Irvin has started 3 games this season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Dodgers. He struck out 12 in that game, but did take a loss in his first start of the season, giving up 6 runs to the Dodgers.
Washington’s offense has been a bit better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game compared to just 3 runs per game at home. Overall, they are 19th in the league at 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and are also near the middle of the pack in terms of on-base percentage and slugging.
CJ Abrams has been on a tear of late, going 12/41 in his last 10 games with two homers. This has pushed his season average to .296, and his six homers are the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. Jacob Young has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/25 in his last nine games. Nick Senzel has five homers this season but is batting just .222 overall and has gone 6/29 in his last eight games.
Miami’s overall record is 6-23 heading into today’s home matchup vs. the Nationals. They are also 14.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. The Marlins have dropped six straight games, and this losing streak came after winning the final game of their series vs. the Cubs.
At home, the Marlins are just 2-14 this year, and they are 4-9 on the road. So far, they have really struggled vs. other NL East teams, going 1-8. Miami has also really struggled as the favorite, going 0-10. As for their record as the underdog, they are 6-13 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 0-7-1 this year and have lost four straight series at home.
The Marlins have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going just 9-20 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going just 3-13. They have a run line losing streak of four games at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last 10 games as the favorite. They have been much better on the road, going 6-7 against the run line.
With an average combined run total of 9.1, the Miami Marlins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Washington Nationals is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have hit the over in 15 of their 29 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 9 of 16 games, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Trevor Rogers is set to take the mound for the Marlins at home against the Nationals. Rogers has started 3 games this season and has yet to pick up a win, but he has been solid, striking out 15 batters across 16 innings. He has given up just 1 home run in each of his first 3 starts.
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .224 and have the league’s 28th ranked slugging percentage.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Jake Burger are tied for the team lead with three homers, but both players are batting under .250 for the season. Chisholm Jr. has gone 8/28 in his last eight games, including one home run and six RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 in his last eight games. Bryan De La Cruz has been a bright spot for the Marlins this season, as he is hitting .261 with a team-high five homers.
Our prediction for this National League East matchup is that the Marlins will pick up a win at home, and we have them winning by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking to place a bet on the money line, the payout for a Marlins win is -154.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Rogers is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and he has the third-best chances of any starter today to pick up a win. As for Jake Irvin, his projected strikeout total is four, and he ranks fifth worst in terms of starting pitchers today.
Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Marlins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Jake Burger | Out | Oblique |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Shoulder |
| Victor Robles | Out | Hamstring |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Robert Garcia | Out | Illness |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
