Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Preview
The Rangers and Marlins will face off in an interleague matchup at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Marlins are the slight home underdogs on the money line (+109). The Rangers are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 28-30.
BSFL will be televising Sunday’s game, and the over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs. Andrew Heaney is starting for the Rangers, while Trevor Rogers goes for the Marlins. Texas is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -129.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Texas Rangers odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Rangers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Marlins have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games, the Rangers have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 vs. the runline and 3-7 straight-up.
It was all Texas in the last game of this series, as the Rangers took down the Marlins by a score of 7-0. The Rangers offense only had two more hits than the Marlins and struck out 16 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -102 on the money line.
Miami got off to a rough start in this one, giving up two runs in the first and another two in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rangers didn’t score another run until they broke out for three in the 9th. As for the Marlins, they couldn’t get anything going and finished with just seven hits.
Michael Lorenzen started for the Rangers and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Ryan Weathers had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up four earned runs.
Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Texas is 28-30 overall and is 2nd in the AL West, trailing the Mariners by four games. The Rangers will be on the road today, taking on the Marlins. So far, they are 9-11 in AL West games and have gone 14-13 at home and 14-17 on the road.
The Rangers have an overall series record of 8-9-1 and are 4-6 across their last ten games. As the favorite, the Rangers have gone 17-16 this year and 11-14 as the underdog. Texas evened up their series with the Marlins last time out, as they are each 1-1.
The Rangers are 24-34 against the run line this season, with a 13-18 mark on the road. They have been a run line underdog in 25 games, going 13-12 in those contests. Their average run differential in all games is 0.0, but it jumps to 3.9 in their wins and drops to -3.6 in their losses.
The Texas Rangers are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 22-34. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-13. So far this season, 46.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 4.47. Heaney’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. Looking back at his last outing, Heaney picked up the win out of the bullpen, going 2 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.23 strikeouts per nine innings.
Corey Seager has been on a tear of late for the Rangers, going 13/34 with seven homers over his last nine games. Seager’s 13 homers is the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. Adolis Garcia has also been a solid power threat for the Rangers, as he has 12 homers this season but is batting just .227.
As a team, the Rangers are 11th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, Texas is batting .243, which is 11th in the MLB right now.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 20 games. Overall, they are 21-38 and have gone just 4-12 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are looking to get back on track, as they have dropped two straight and are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are 11-20 this season and 10-18 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in most of their games, where they are 18-26 compared to 3-12 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 5-12-1 this year.
When the Marlins win, they win big, averaging a margin of victory of 3.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average margin of defeat of -3.8 runs per game. Miami has been a good bet against the run line overall, going 25-34, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 15-13 against the run line. As an underdog, the Marlins are 24-20 against the run line, but as a favorite, they are just 1-14.
When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 32-27, and when the line is set at 8.5, they have gone over 14 times and under 9 times. Overall, 16.9% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, while 44.1% have had lower lines.
Left-hander Trevor Rogers gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Rangers at home. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 5.65. Rogers most recently faced the Padres, where he finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run. In his outing before that, he gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Opponents are batting .305 off Rogers this year, and his WHIP is 1.80. For the season, he has allowed six homers and is averaging 7.76 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and are also one of the better teams in terms of avoiding strikeouts.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game as the Marlins’ top home run hitter this season, with eight long balls, which is 13th in the league. He is also batting .257 for the season. Over the team’s last six games, Jesús Sánchez has gone 8/22 with two homers and four RBIs. Sánchez also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
With the Rangers at -129 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one. We have the Rangers winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Rangers with another team, as the payout for a straight-up win isn’t all that high.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Andrew Heaney is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and we have Trevor Rogers with six. In terms of the Rangers lineup, they are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, which is the second-most in the league today.
Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- Take the Rangers on the moneyline
- The Rangers should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | Out | Personal |
| Avisaíl García | Out | Hamstring |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Edward Cabrera | Out | Shoulder |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Back |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Arm |
| Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
| Brock Burke | Out | Hand |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Austin Pruitt | Out | Knee |
| Josh Jung | Out | Wrist |
| Cody Bradford | Out | Back |
| Justin Foscue | Out | Oblique |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
