Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Rays and Marlins face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Marlins are looking to end a two-game losing streak. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+101). The Rays are favored (-119) and their record is 29-31, placing them 4th in the AL East.
Today’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSSUN. Ryan Pepiot is starting for the Rays, while the Marlins are going with Jesus Luzardo.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Tampa Bay Rays odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Rays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Marlins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Rays have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 3-7.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 3-7 over their last ten games.
Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Rays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Orioles, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Orioles in the bottom of the first, the Rays responded with a run of their own. Tampa Bay went on to add another run in the 5th inning and closed things out with a 2-run 8th.
Starting for the Rays was Zack Littell, who picked up the win. He went six innings, giving up three earned runs on
11 hits. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by José Caballero, who went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Tampa Bay is on the road today to take on the Marlins, with their overall record at 29-31. The Rays are 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, and they trail the Red Sox by one game for 3rd place in the division. So far, they are 10-13 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Rays are 17-18 this year and 12-13 on the road. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games and are just 4-6 over their last 10. As the favorite, the Rays are 18-19 this year and 11-12 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 8-9-2 this season.
When the Rays win, they do so by an average of 2.3 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.8 runs per game. They are 24-36 against the run line this season, including 13-12 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 11-26 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 13-10.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 30-29, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-5. Overall, 44 of their games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 73.3% of their games.
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.88. Opponents are batting .171 this season off Pepiot, and he has a WHIP of .95. Pepiot has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that May 29th start vs. the Athletics, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Pepiot has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays offense this season, as he is batting .291 with a team-high 32 RBIs and 10 home runs. Paredes has also been hot of late, as he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with eight homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .162.
Overall, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 15th in the MLB.
Miami closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Marlins were the slight favorite at +107 on the money line. Things really got away from the Marlins in the 3rd inning, as the Rangers scored three runs in the inning. Miami’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 6th.
Trevor Rogers got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Rogers also issued two walks and hit a batter. Miami’s offense scored their run on a Jesus Aguilar single. He went 2 for 4.
Miami is 21-39 overall and trail the Phillies by 20.5 games in the NL East. The Marlins have dropped two straight games and are just 4-12 against other NL East teams. At home, the Marlins are 11-21 this year and 10-18 on the road.
As the favorite, the Marlins are just 3-12 this year and 18-27 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 5-13-1, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Marlins have been a good bet against the run line on the road, going 15-13. They have a run line record of 25-35 overall and are 10-22 at home. Miami has been a run line favorite just once this season, going 1-14. The average run differential in their wins is +3.3, while it’s -3.9 in their losses.
The Miami Marlins are playing at home against the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-28. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 8-3. Overall, 73.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Miami is sending left-hander Jesús Luzardo to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.18. Luzardo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Padres. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Luzardo has allowed a total of six home runs this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.71 strikeouts and 2.79 walks.
Over his last six games, Josh Bell has gone 10/24 for the Marlins, and he is currently on a six-game hitting streak. However, he has yet to homer during this stretch. Bryan De La Cruz has gone deep twice in his last six games, and he is batting .249 for the season with a team-high nine homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been a big power threat for Miami, as he has eight homers and is batting .252.
As a team, the Marlins are just 29th in the league in runs scored at 3.6 per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .290 is 19th in the league.
With the Marlins at +101 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, giving us a good amount of wiggle room on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jesús Luzardo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for second among all starters today. As for Ryan Pepiot, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is 15th among starters.
Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips
- We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+101)
- On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | Out | Personal |
| Avisaíl García | Out | Hamstring |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Edward Cabrera | Out | Shoulder |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin | Out | Back |
| Wander Franco | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rasmussen | Out | Arm |
| Taylor Walls | Out | Hip |
| Jeffrey Springs | Out | Elbow |
| Colin Poche | Out | Back |
| Shane McClanahan | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Waguespack | Out | Shoulder |
