Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The Marlins will be looking to snap a six-game losing streak when they host the Cardinals at loanDepot Park in Miami. However, they are the slight underdog on the money line (+125), and the over/under line is at 8 runs. St. Louis has won two straight and they are 2nd in the NL Central with a record of 36-35.
BSMW will be televising Tuesday’s NL matchup, and the Cardinals are favored on the money line (-148). Today’s pitching matchup features Lance Lynn for the Cardinals and Roddery Munoz for the Marlins.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Cardinals are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- Conversely, the Marlins have achieved a 0-5 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 4-6.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 3-7 over their last ten games.
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Marlins series. St. Louis went into the matchup as -154 favorites and barely squeaked out a win with a score of 7-6. The Cardinals had to rally late, scoring three runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Marlins, they scored one run in the 6th and added three more in the 7th.
Sonny Gray got the start for the Cardinals, going just 7 2/3 innings while giving up two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and issued two walks. Andrew Kittredge got the win out of the bullpen, and A.J. Puk took the loss for Miami.
At the plate, the Cardinals were led by Masyn Winn, Michael Siani, and Ivan Herrera, as they were the only three Cardinals hitters to have more than one hit. Winn and Siani each homered, while Herrera scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4.
Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is on the road today, taking on the Marlins, and they have won two straight games. The Cardinals are 36-35 overall and trail the Brewers by 5.5 games in the NL Central. So far, they are just 9-9 in divisional games this year.
The Cardinals have won two straight games as the road favorite, and they are 6-4 overall in this spot. As the favorite, St. Louis is 18-15 compared to an underdog record of 18-20. St. Louis has an overall series record of 12-10-1 and have won two straight series.
When betting on the Cardinals this season, it’s been best to take them on the run line when they’re the underdog. They are 23-15 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in their losses is -3.5 runs per game, while it’s +2.4 runs per game in their wins.
When the Cardinals are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Cardinals and their opponents have averaged a combined 8.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Cardinals games is 29-39, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 4-8-1. So far this season, 53.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Lance Lynn to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He comes into the game with a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.75. Lynn has made 14 starts this season and has a WHIP of 1.39. Looking back at his last outing, Lynn finished with a no-decision vs. the Pirates, giving up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Lynn has allowed at least two home runs in three of his last four starts.
St. Louis has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the Cardinals averaging 3.7 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting just .236 and have an on-base percentage of only .304.
Nolan Gorman has been a bright spot for the Cardinals this season, as he leads the team with 33 RBIs and is 8th in the league with 15 home runs. However, he is batting just .205. Alec Burleson is batting .271 and has gone deep nine times. Over his last six games, Pedro Pages has two homers but is just 3/18.
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-49, which puts them 25.0 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have dropped six straight games, and this losing streak includes losing the first game of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they are just 5-17 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Marlins are 12-26 this year and 11-23 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Marlins are 20-37 this year, and they are just 3-12 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 5-17-1, and they have dropped six straight series.
When betting the run line, you may want to consider the Marlins’ home games. Miami is 12-26 vs. the run line at home this season, compared to 17-17 on the road. The Marlins are 1-14 vs. the run line as the favorite, but 28-29 as the underdog. Miami’s average run margin in losses is -3.9.
The Miami Marlins are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Marlins have seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, with their combined run average sitting at 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Miami games this season is 38-33, and the average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 5-6-1.
Roddery Muñoz will be making his third start of the season for the Marlins, and he will be facing the Cardinals at home. He picked up a win in his first start of the season, going 6 innings and allowing just 1 run. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up 4 runs in 4 innings of work.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst OPS in the MLB. One of the few bright spots in their lineup has been Jazz Chisholm Jr., who is batting .266 for the season and is on a six-game hitting streak. He also leads the team with 35 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 10 home runs.
Chisholm Jr. has been hot of late, going 10/19 in his last six games. However, Bryan De La Cruz has struggled during that stretch, going 4/24 (.167). For the season, De La Cruz is batting .242 and is the Marlins’ leader with 12 homers.
Our predicted score for this game is a 5-4 win for the Marlins, and with them paying out at +125 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
If you’re looking for a prediction on Lance Lynn and Roddery Muñoz’s stat lines, we have Lynn finishing with six strikeouts compared to Muñoz with five. Lynn is projected to give up three earned runs, while Muñoz is predicted to allow four.
Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+125)
- On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Questionable | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Edward Cabrera | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | Out | Personal |
| Brandon Crawford | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Forearm |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
| Lars Nootbaar | Out | Oblique |
| Nick Robertson | Out | Elbow |
