Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 6/17/2024

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

Monday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Marlins has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Cardinals are 35-35 this season, and they are starting Sonny Gray. Miami is 23-48 and they have Braxton Garrett on the mound.

St. Louis is the heavy favorite on the money line, with odds of -159 compared to the Marlins at +135. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on BSFL. Miami is looking to snap a five-game losing streak, while the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central.

Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – St. Louis Cardinals odds

Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• The Cardinals are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Marlins have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 5-5.
• As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 vs. the runline and 3-7 straight-up.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals’s offense was carried by Pedro Pagés in their most recent game vs. the Cubs. Pagés went only 1/3, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in both of the Cardinals’s runs. St. Louis’s other run came in the 2nd inning.

Miles Mikolas started for the Cardinals, going 6 1/3 innings, and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had five strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

St. Louis is at an even 35-35 overall as they head into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins. The Cardinals are 6.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they are 9-9 in divisional games this year. St. Louis closed out their series vs. the Cubs with a win and took the series 2-1.

At home, the Cardinals have gone 17-15 this year and are just under .500 at 18-20 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 17-15 this year, and they are 18-20 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 12-10-1, and they have won two straight series.

The Cardinals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, posting a 36-34 record. They have been particularly good as an underdog, going 23-15. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.5, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.

St. Louis is on the road against Miami today, and the O/U line is set at 7.5. The Cardinals have an average combined run average of 8.2 this season, and their O/U record is 28-39. When the O/U line is set at 7.5, their record is 4-12. So far this season, 72.9% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 7.5, and they have an under streak of 7 games.

Cardinals starter Sonny Gray has been pitching well this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 8-4 and an ERA of 3.02. Gray’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03. In his 12 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 11.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray’s most recent outing came against the Pirates, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.64 compared to 5.4 on the road.

St. Louis has been one of the league’s worst offensive teams this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .304 is also below the league average.

Nolan Gorman comes into the game as the Cardinals’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .208 for the season. Alec Burleson has been a bright spot for the team, as he is 2nd on the team with nine homers and has a batting average of .272. Nolan Arenado has been hot of late, hitting .367 over his last eight games.

Miami closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a 3-1 loss. The Marlins were the +105 underdog on the road going into this game. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Nationals scored in the bottom of the first.

Jesús Luzardo had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted five innings, taking the loss. The Marlins also wasted a good performance from Jazz Chisholm Jr., who went 2/4 with a run scored.

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 23-48, putting them 24 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-17. The Marlins are currently on a five-game losing streak, and they lost the final two games of their series before that, meaning they have dropped seven of their last eight games.

At home, the Marlins are just 12-25 this year, and they are 11-23 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 20-36 this year compared to 3-12 when favored. Miami has dropped six straight series, and their overall series record is 5-17-1.

When it comes to the run line, the Miami Marlins have been a team to avoid, going 28-43 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going just 11-26 against the run line. Their average run margin is -1.6, and they have gone 17-17 against the run line on the road. They have been an underdog in most games, going 27-29 against the run line.

Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is lower than the Miami Marlins’ average over/under line of 8 runs. The Marlins have played 50 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 70.4% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 37-33, and their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game. They are on a two-game under streak.

Miami is sending left-hander Braxton Garrett to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 6.10 ERA. Garrett’s WHIP for the season is 1.26, and opponents are batting .267 off him this year. In his 31 innings of work, Garrett has one complete game shutout and one quality start. His ERA at home is 12.59 compared to 3.17 on the road. The last time he pitched, Garrett gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing.

So far this season, the Marlins are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, putting up only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team OPS. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, with Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Tim Anderson both hitting over .370 in their last seven and six games, respectively.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Bryan De La Cruz come into the game as the Marlins’ top home run threats, with 10 and 11 homers, respectively. Chisholm Jr. is also on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .260 for the season. De La Cruz is hitting .243. Over his last seven games, Chisholm Jr. is 9/24 with two homers, and De La Cruz has gone deep twice in this stretch.

Our predicted score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, and with them having a money line of +135, that is the direction we recommend going. The Cardinals are on the road, and even with a win payout of -159, we still like the Marlins to come out on top.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Sonny Gray is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Braxton Garrett, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, which has him towards the middle of the pack.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+135)
• On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report