Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From loanDepot Park in Miami, we have an interleague matchup between the Mariners and Marlins. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET, and RSNW is carrying the TV coverage for this one. The money line odds have the Mariners at -171 compared to the Marlins at +143. Saturday’s forecast in Miami calls for scattered thunderstorms.
Seattle is 44-34 and they are 1st in the AL West, while the Marlins are 26-49 and 5th in the NL East. Logan Gilbert is starting for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Shaun Anderson. Miami comes in on a 3 game win streak, while the Mariners have lost 3 straight.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Seattle Mariners odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mariners are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Marlins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 0-5 (SU) and 1-4 record.
- The Mariners have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 3-7 over their last ten games.
Miami rallied for two runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Mariners series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the 6th, picking up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +144 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from George Kirby, as he gave up just two earned runs in seven innings of work for the Mariners. Austin Voth took the loss. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins as Trevor Rogers went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs.
Bryan De La Cruz was the difference for the Marlins, as he homered, scored three times, and drove in a run. Josh Bell and Tim Anderson each had two hits and an RBI for Miami’s offense.
Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is on the road today, and they are looking to bounce back from three straight losses, and they are 44-34 overall. The Mariners hold a seven-game lead in the AL West over the Astros. So far, they have been great against other AL West teams, going 17-5 this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 27-12, and they are just above .500 at 17-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners are 28-19 this year, and they are 16-15 as the underdog. Seattle has dropped three straight games on the road, heading into today’s matchup.
Seattle has been a tough team to figure out when it comes to the run line this season. The Mariners are 37-41 overall, but they have been a better bet at home, where they are 21-18. As the underdog, they are 17-14 on the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 20-27. Overall, their run differential is just +0.1 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 0.7 runs per game on the road.
Seattle has played in 34 games with an over/under line higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 43.6% of their games. Their combined run average is 7.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 31-44. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-15.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Gilbert has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 2.93 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .194 this season. Gilbert’s most recent outing was a gem, as he went eight innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. In that outing, he had nine strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed 11 homers this season.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst so far this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and are averaging a league-worst 10 strikeouts per game. However, the Mariners do have the 7th most home runs in the league. Julio Rodríguez comes into the game with a team-high seven homers and is batting .264 for the season.
Cal Raleigh is the Mariners’ top run producer this season, as he leads the team with 44 RBIs and is also 12th in the league with 12 homers. However, he is batting just .198 for the season. Dylan Moore, who is 2nd on the team with eight homers, has really struggled of late, hitting just .158 over his last six games.
Miami is 26-49 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 23 games in the division. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 5-17. The Marlins have picked up three straight wins, and they have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Marlins are 15-26 this year compared to an 11-23 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 23-37 this year, which includes having won three straight as the underdog overall. Miami’s series record is 6-17-1 this year.
When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.9 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.9 runs. They are 32-43 on the run line this season, including a 15-26 mark at home. They are 17-17 on the run line on the road, and they have covered the run line in their last four games at home.
When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the team’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Overall, the Marlins have a 39-35 over/under record, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, Miami’s games have gone over the total 11 times and under 6 times. So far this season, 69.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Shaun Anderson will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins after starting the year in the bullpen. He has made 2 appearances out of the pen, with his most recent outing coming against the Nationals, where he took the loss. In that game, he went 2 innings, allowing 4 runs and 1 home run.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234 and have the league’s worst team ISO. However, they do have two hitters in the top 10 in home runs, with Bryan De La Cruz leading the team with 14 homers and Jazz Chisholm Jr. right behind him with 10.
De La Cruz has gone 10/37 in his last nine games, including three homers, and is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Tim Anderson is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 15/38 in his last nine games.
Our pick for this Mariners vs. Marlins matchup is to go with the Marlins on the money line, with a payout of +143. With a final score prediction of 5-4 in favor of the Marlins, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line if you want to add some more value to your bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Gilbert going four innings, while Shaun Anderson is also going four innings. Anderson has a projected strikeout total of four, which is better than Gilbert, who we have finishing with six K’s.
Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Edward Cabrera | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Polanco | Out | Hamstring |
| Gabe Speier | Out | Shoulder |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
