Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips 6/21/2024

Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Preview

Friday’s interleague matchup between the Mariners and Marlins is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The Mariners are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -162 compared to the Marlins at +136. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Seattle will be looking to end a two-game losing streak and is 44-33 overall, while the Marlins have won two in a row and are 25-49. George Kirby will start for the Mariners, while the Marlins are set to go with Trevor Rogers. Miami is currently 5th in the NL East.

Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Seattle Mariners odds

Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• The Mariners are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Marlins have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
• The Mariners have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have a 1-9 record against the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games.

Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

Seattle will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 6-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 1st inning before the Guardians scored three runs in the bottom of the first. Seattle was the +107 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Luis Castillo had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. He also only lasted five innings, taking the loss. The Mariners’s offense was carried by Dylan Moore, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Seattle is 44-33 overall, putting them 1st in the AL West, leading the Astros by 8 games. The Mariners have dropped two straight games, and this came after losing two of three in their series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have been excellent against other teams in the AL West, going 17-5.

The Mariners have been really good at home, going 27-12, but they are just 17-21 on the road. Seattle has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 28-18 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, they are 16-15. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-9-2 heading into today’s game vs. the Marlins.

Seattle has been a good bet at home this season, going 21-18 against the run line. They have a run line record of 37-40 overall, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. The Mariners have been a better bet as the underdog, going 17-14 against the run line in those games. They have a losing streak against the run line on the road, failing to cover in their last two games away from home.

The Seattle Mariners are on the road against the Miami Marlins today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 31-43. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mariners have gone over in 7 of 21 games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. The over has hit in each of their last three games.

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.54 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win vs. the Rangers. Kirby has been pitching well recently, as he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .223 vs. Kirby this season.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .220 this season, which is 22nd in the league. They are also dead last in the league in strikeouts and are averaging just 3.9 runs per game. However, they have been a good home run hitting team, and their team isolated power of .149 is 13th in the league.

Cal Raleigh and Dylan Moore are tied for the team lead with eight homers, but both players are hitting below .210 for the season. Raleigh’s 44 RBIs are 14th in the league, and Moore is 5th on the team with 25 RBIs. Julio Rodriguez has a team-high 29 RBIs and is batting .264 for the season.

The Marlins pulled off a bit of an upset in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, picking up a 4-3 win. Miami was the +132 underdog at home going into this matchup. Offensively, the Marlins scored their four runs on eight hits and only hit two home runs.

Yonny Chirinos got the start for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just two runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Miami is 5th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 24 games in the division. Overall, the Marlins are 25-49 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Mariners. They have gone just 5-17 in divisional games this year.

The Marlins have won two straight games, and this came after dropping six in a row. At home, the Marlins are 14-26 compared to an 11-23 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 22-37 this year and 3-12 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 6-17-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.

The Marlins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 31-43 overall. They have been especially good on the run line as the underdog, going 30-29. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 17-17. They have covered the run line in three straight games overall and as the underdog.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 39-34. Overall, their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit at an 11-5 clip. In total, 70.3% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Trevor Rogers is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Against the Mariners today, the left-hander will look to pitch more like he did vs. the Guardians on June 9th, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. Rogers’ record for the season is 1-8, and his ERA is 5.09. Opposing batters have a batting average of .286 vs. Rogers this season. Out of his 14 appearances, he has made just one quality start.

So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has also struggled in the power department, as they are dead last in the league in home runs and have the league’s worst team ISO.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been a bright spot for the Marlins, as his 10 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. He is also hitting .266 for the season. Bryan De La Cruz is also near the top of the league in home runs, but he has hit just .212 over his last eight games. Tim Anderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 in his last eight games.

The best way to play this Mariners vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +136. We have the Marlins winning this game by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Rogers is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters today. As for George Kirby, his strikeout projection is six, which has him coming in at 12th.

Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips

• We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+136)
• On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins Injury Report

Seattle Mariners Injury Report