Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Phillies head into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Marlins looking for the sweep, as they have won the first two games of this series. First pitch from loanDepot Park is set for 1:40 PM ET. Philadelphia is currently 28-12 this season, while the Marlins are 10-31.
Right now, the over/under line is at 7 runs, and the Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -239. Braxton Garrett is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Philadelphia Phillies odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Phillies are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- Conversely, the Marlins have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 1-4 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 8-2 and a runline record of 6-4.
- The Marlins have a 1-9 record vs. the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -128 on the money line.
Taijuan Walker started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Jesus Luzardo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Cristian Pache, Bryson Stott, and Alec Bohm, as they were the only three Phillies hitters to have more than one hit. Pache. Miami’s top hitter was Otto Lopez, who went 2/3 with a home run.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia is on the road today, and they are leading the NL East with a record of 28-12. The Phillies hold a two-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. So far, they are 5-3 in divisional games and have won two straight games overall. Their two most recent wins came in the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins.
At home, the Phillies have gone 15-7 this year, and they are 13-5 on the road. Philadelphia has been really good in night games, going 18-6 this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 24-9, and they are 4-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 7-2-3 and have won two straight series on the road.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 11-7. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 21-19 overall. They have an average run margin of +1.8 on the road and +1.6 overall. They have been favored in 33 games and have gone 17-16 against the run line in those contests.
When the Phillies and Marlins meet, the over has hit in two of their three games this season. The over/under line for their last game was 8, and the two teams combined for 11 runs. The over/under line for their previous game was 7.5, and the two teams combined for 10 runs. The over/under line for their first game was 8.5, and the two teams combined for eight runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 7, and the two teams have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Phillies this season is 19-19, and the over has hit in two straight games.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 4-3. Wheeler’s ERA is an impressive 1.64, along with a WHIP of .89. Opposing batters are hitting just .168 off Wheeler this season. In his last outing, he gave up one earned run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Wheeler has won each of his last four starts. His strikeout numbers for the season are also strong, as he is averaging 11.49 per nine innings.
Not only are the Phillies one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, but they have been even better of late, averaging 5.7 runs per game over their last 10 games. Alec Bohm has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .343 with four homers and 32 RBIs. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are tied for the team lead with nine homers apiece, but Harper is just batting .260, while Schwarber is hitting just .217.
Harper has been hot of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. J.T. Realmuto is also swinging a hot bat, going 11/29 in his last seven games. Nick Castellanos has gone 9/30 in his last eight games and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
Miami is hosting the Phillies today with an overall record of 10-31, which is 18.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, the Marlins are just 1-11 in divisional games. They have dropped five straight games heading into today’s matchup.
At home, the Marlins are 5-17 this year compared to 5-14 on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 3-11 as the favorite and 7-20 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 1-10-1, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Marlins are the underdog, they are 10-17 vs. the run line. When they are the favorite, they are 1-13. Their average run margin is -2.2, and they have a losing run line record of 11-30. They have lost their last three run line bets at home and are 4-18 vs. the run line at home this season.
The Miami Marlins have been a consistent over team this season, with their games averaging 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 24-17, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games, and their game today against the Philadelphia Phillies has an over/under line of 7 runs.
Braxton Garrett is coming off a season in which he made 31 appearances and 30 starts. His record for the season was 9-7, and he finished the year with an ERA of 3.66. Garrett’s WHIP for the season was 1.15, and he allowed a batting average of .243. Last season, Garrett faced the Phillies twice and went 1-0 with an ERA of 1.54.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .226 this season, which is 15th in the league and have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging only 3.6 runs per game. Miami has been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 28th in scoring.
Bryan De La Cruz and Nick Gordon have been two of the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with both players having two homers in their last five and six games, respectively. De La Cruz has gone 7/22 in his last six games, while Gordon is hitting .471 in his last five games. De La Cruz comes into the game with an eight-game hitting streak.
At +196, the Marlins are a great value pick to win this one at home. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins. We would recommend locking in this bet now, as we could see this line moving closer to the start of the game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Braxton Garrett actually has the best chances of picking up a win among all starters today. If you’re looking at Zack Wheeler, he does have a good shot at picking up a win, but his odds are not as good as Garrett’s.
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips
- Take the Phillies on the moneyline
- The Marlins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| Tim Anderson | Questionable | Back |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Edward Cabrera | Out | Shoulder |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Questionable | Back |
| Trea Turner | Out | Hamstring |
| Dylan Covey | Out | Shoulder |
| Rafael Marchán | Out | Back |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Ankle |
| Yunior Marte | Out | Shoulder |
| Michael Rucker | Out | Hand |
