Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Jack Flaherty will start for the Dodgers on Thursday, as they face off against the Marlins and Edward Cabrera. This NL matchup has a start time of 4:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are +176 on the money line compared to the Dodgers at -206. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
The Dodgers are 90-62 this season and are 1st in the NL West, while the Marlins are 56-96 and are 5th in the NL East. BSFL is televising this game.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Dodgers are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Marlins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 5-5.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have gone 2-8 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.
It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Dodgers took down the Marlins by a score of 8-4. The Dodgers offense only had three more hits than the Marlins and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -200 on the money line.
Miami actually got on the board first in this game, scoring two runs in the 4th inning. However, the Dodgers responded with five runs in the 5th and added two more in the 8th. As for the Marlins, they could only muster two more runs in the 9th when the game was already out of reach.
Landon Knack only went five innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a run and finished with seven strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Weathers had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
With an overall record of 90-62, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have gone 24-19 against other teams in the NL West. Los Angeles will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are just 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this season, and they are just above .500 at 42-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 85-50 this season, while going just 5-12 as the underdog. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 28-18-4 this season.
When the Dodgers are favored, they are 69-66 against the run line. Their average run differential in wins is 3.7, compared to -3.4 in losses. Overall, they are 76-76 against the run line this season, with a run differential of +0.8 runs per game.
The Dodgers are on the road in Miami today, where the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Dodgers have been involved in games with an average of 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 84-65. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-12. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 5 games.
Right-hander Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with an ERA of 3.04. Flaherty’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 10.97 strikeouts per nine innings. Flaherty’s last outing came on September 14th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Freddie Freeman has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Dodgers, going 7/19 in his last five games with six runs and five RBIs. Overall, he is hitting .368 since joining the team. Tommy Edman has struggled in his last five games, going just 4/21 at the plate. Heading into the game, Miguel Rojas is on a nine-game hitting streak, while Freeman has hits in his last five games.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with Ohtani’s 48 homers ranking 2nd in the league and Hernandez’s 29 homers coming in at 13th. Ohtani is also 2nd in the league with 110 RBIs. As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-96, and they are 17-32 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins will be at home today, where they are 29-48 this season.
So far, Miami has gone 27-48 on the road. This year, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. As the underdog, Miami is 52-82. Looking at their overall series record, the Marlins are 11-28-9 and have dropped two straight series.
When the Marlins win, they have done so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. As the underdog, they are 69-65 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 2-16. Overall, they are 71-81 against the run line, with a negative run differential of -1.3 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are home against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 81-66. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-12-2. The over has hit in their last two games.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Dodgers, and he comes into the game with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.55. So far this year, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .211 off the right-hander. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his last outing, Cabrera took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cabrera has a total of five quality starts this year and is averaging 10.01 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past seven games, Otto Lopez has been on fire for the Marlins, going 9/26 with two homers and six RBIs. He also has five runs scored during this stretch. Lopez is currently on a five-game hitting streak. As a team, the Marlins are 28th in scoring at 3.8 runs per game and are dead last in walks.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez are the Marlins’ top home run hitters this season, with 26 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger’s 66 RBIs are the best mark on the team, while Sánchez is 2nd with 62 RBIs. Miami is hoping that their home run power can help them improve their overall scoring numbers.
Our pick for this Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line at +176. With this payout, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line, as we have them winning by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Edward Cabrera, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is seventh among starters.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+176)
- On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Derek Hill | Out | Shoulder |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Vidal Bruján | Out | Shoulder |
| José Devers | Questionable | Hand |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Max Meyer | Out | Shoulder |
| John McMillon | Out | Elbow |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Calvin Faucher | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Miguel Rojas | Questionable | Leg |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Barnes | Out | Toe |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
