Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
Wednesday’s Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Dodgers are 89-62 and they lead the NL West, while the Marlins are 56-95 and they are 5th in the NL East.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -180 compared to the Marlins at +151. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this one will be televised on BSFL.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Dodgers are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the other side, the Marlins have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have a 2-8 record against the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Miami picked up an 11-9 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored four of their nine runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +187 on the money line.
Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just 3 2/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out four. Anthony Veneziano came out of the bullpen for the win. Bobby Miller only went two innings for the Dodgers, giving up four earned runs on seven hits.
Jesús Sánchez was the difference for the Marlins, as he went 5/5 with two doubles and three RBIs. Kyle Stowers also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Miami’s offense.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is 89-62 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be looking to pick up a win today, as they dropped the first game of the series vs. the Marlins. So far, they have gone 24-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27, and they are 41-35 on the road. Los Angeles has really thrived as the favorite this season, putting together an 84-50 record. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 5-12 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 28-18-4.
When betting the Dodgers on the run line, it has been a coin flip this season, as they are 75-76. They have been slightly better on the road, going 37-39, compared to 38-37 at home. As a favorite, they are 68-66 on the run line, while as an underdog, they are just 7-10. Their average run margin in all games is +0.7, but it increases to +0.9 at home and drops to +0.6 on the road.
Los Angeles is on the road against the Miami Marlins today. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.3 runs per game. The Dodgers have gone over the total in 33 of 58 games with an 8.5 over/under line this season and have hit the over in four straight games.
Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and two of them have been quality starts. Knack’s record for the season is 2-4, and he most recently took the loss on September 13th, where he gave up five earned runs in two innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Knack has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. His ERA for the season is 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.09.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 48 homers are 2nd in the MLB and lead the Dodgers. Ohtani is also 2nd in the league with 110 RBIs. Ohtani has been a solid all-around hitter this season, batting .287 and has an OBP of .372. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key power threat for the Dodgers, as his 29 homers are 2nd on the team and 13th in the MLB. Hernandez has gone 8/23 in his last six games, including one home run.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s top slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .254 and have the league’s 2nd best OPS.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 56-95, and they are 17-32 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins won the first game of the series vs. the Dodgers and have an overall series record of 11-28-9.
At home, the Marlins are 29-47 compared to 27-48 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 52-81 this year, but they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. Miami’s overall series losing streak is two games, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.
When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game. When they lose, it’s by an average of 3.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 71 of their 151 games this season, and they are 33-43 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 69-64 against the run line, and they have covered in three straight games.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs is a bit higher than the Marlins’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Miami has played 30 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 28 of those contests. The Marlins’ games have had an average of 9 runs scored per game, and their over/under record for the season is 80-66.
Left-hander Ryan Weathers gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Dodgers at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in six quality starts. Weathers’ most recent outing came vs. the Guardians, where he went just 2 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and taking a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, but they are dead last in the league in walks and near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Miami’s team isolated power of .132 is also near the bottom of the league.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 26 homers and Sánchez right behind him at 17. Burger is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 66. Otto Lopez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last six games with two homers.
Our predictions for this Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, with a predicted final score of 6-5. At +151, there is a lot of value in picking the Marlins to win straight up, as they are playing at home.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ryan Weathers finishing with five strikeouts, and he is projected to finish with the sixth most among starters. As for Landon Knack, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is 19th among starters.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Marlins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Derek Hill | Out | Shoulder |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Vidal Bruján | Out | Shoulder |
| José Devers | Questionable | Hand |
| Ryan Weathers | Probable | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Max Meyer | Out | Shoulder |
| John McMillon | Out | Elbow |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Calvin Faucher | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Barnes | Out | Toe |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
