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Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 4302024 sport preview

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 4/30/2024

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Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies 4/30/24
  • Take the Marlins on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Preview

At 6:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Marlins will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Marlins are the favorite on the money line at -136. As for the Rockies, they are sitting at +114. The over/under line is at 8 runs.

Colorado comes into this one with a record of 7-21, while the Marlins are currently 6-24. Tuesday night’s pitching matchup features Ryan Feltner for the Rockies and Sixto Sanchez for the Marlins.

Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Colorado Rockies odds

Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

  • Across their last five road games, the Rockies are 0-5. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
  • Conversely, the Marlins have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
  • The Marlins have a straight-up record of 2-8 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
  • The Rockies have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with an 8-2 loss. Colorado was the +197 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with two runs in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Astros scored two runs in the top of the first.

Austin Gomber had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on six hits and issuing three walks. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Rockies couldnjson’t get anything going offensively after the 2nd inning, and Elias Diaz was the only bright spot, going 2/4 with a run scored.

Colorado is just 7-21 overall this year, and they have dropped two straight games heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins. The Rockies are 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and have an NL West division record of 4-7. Colorado’s most recent series was vs. the Astros, and they dropped the final two games of the series.

At home, the Rockies are only 5-10 this year, and they are just 2-11 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in night games, going 4-14 compared to 3-7 in day games. As the underdog, the Rockies have yet to win a game as the underdog this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 0-8-1 this year.

Despite a losing record against the run line overall, the Rockies have been a solid bet away from home, going 5-8 against the run line on the road. Their average run differential on the road is -3.1 runs per game, but they have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

Colorado’s over/under record is 13-15 this season, and the average over/under line in their games has been 10 runs. However, when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in both games. Overall, the Rockies’ games have averaged 10.1 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs just twice this season.

After starting the season with a win, Ryan Feltner has taken a loss and a no-decision in his last two outings. He is coming off a start in which he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing 6 runs (2 earned) and striking out 8. He has given up 2 homers in each of his first two starts.

So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and have the 15th ranked home run total in the league. The Rockies have been striking out a lot this season and are also near the bottom of the league in walks.

Colorado’s top power hitter so far has been Michael Toglia, but he is batting just .106 this season. Ryan McMahon and Ezequiel Tovar are tied for the team lead with four homers. McMahon is hitting just .308 in his last nine games, and Tovar is batting .284 this season. Brenton Doyle comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .323 for the season.

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-2 loss to the Nationals, Jazz Chisholm Jr. homered but went just 1/4. Trevor Rogers started for the Marlins, taking the loss, and going only five innings, giving up three earned runs.

Rogers also had control issues in the outing, issuing three walks. The Marlins’s offense scored their only other run in the 6th inning. Miami was the -143 favorite at home going into the game.

Miami is hosting the Rockies today with an overall record of 6-24, and they have lost seven straight games. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9, and they are 14.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead.

The Marlins have really struggled at home this year, going just 2-15. On the road, they are 4-9 this season. As the favorite, the Marlins are 0-11 and 6-13 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 0-8-1, and they have lost two straight series.

The Miami Marlins are 9-21 against the run line this season. They are 3-14 against the run line at home and have failed to cover the run line in their last five home games. As the favorite, they are 0-11 against the run line. They have an average run margin of -2.1 runs per game this season.

The Miami Marlins have gone over the total in three straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 16-14. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Colorado Rockies is set at 8 runs. So far this season, 76.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8-run total, and their over/under record in games with an 8-run line is 1-3.

Sixto Sánchez is getting the start for the Marlins today and has made one start and eight appearances this season. He finished with a no-decision in his most recent outing, going 2 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on three hits. Looking back at his last four outings, Sánchez has finished with a no-decision in each appearance. He has only given up a homer in one of his last four outings. Sánchez’s ERA for the season is 7.20, along with a record of 0-1. Opposing batters are hitting .295 this season off Sánchez.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging 3.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .221, and their on-base percentage of .276 is the worst in the league.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 (.286) over his last eight games with two homers and seven RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been hot, going 13/33 in his last eight games. For the season, Arraez is batting .303, and Chisholm Jr. is hitting .245.

Our prediction for today’s Rockies vs. Marlins game is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at -136. We actually have the Marlins winning this one by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently at eight runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Sixto Sanchez is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Ryan Feltner with just four. Sanchez is also projected to go 6.1 innings, and Feltner is projected to go just 4.2 innings.

Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

  • Take the Marlins on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Avisaíl García Out Undisclosed
Tim Anderson Questionable Thumb
JT Chargois Out Neck
Sandy Alcantara Out Elbow
Braxton Garrett Out Shoulder
Jesús Luzardo Out Elbow
A.J. Puk Out Shoulder
Jake Burger Out Oblique
Xavier Edwards Out Foot
Eury Pérez Out Elbow
Josh Simpson Out Elbow

Colorado Rockies Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Daniel Bard Out Forearm
Kris Bryant Out Back
Germán Márquez Out Elbow
Antonio Senzatela Out Elbow
Kyle Freeland Out Shoulder
Nolan Jones Questionable Back
Lucas Gilbreath Out Elbow

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