Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 7/25/2024

Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Orioles and Marlins is set to get started at 12:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -268 compared to the Marlins at +219. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

Baltimore will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, as they are 60-41 this season and are in 1st place in the AL East. Miami, meanwhile, has won two straight and is 5th in the NL East with an overall record of 37-65. Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, while Roddery Munoz goes for the Marlins. BSFL will be televising Thursday’s game.

Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Baltimore Orioles odds

Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Marlins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles are 3-7 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
• As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.

Miami picked up a 6-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Orioles got on the board with three runs in the 4th and didn’t score another run the rest of the game.

Edward Cabrera only went 5 1/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Andrew Nardi got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.

Josh Bell and Xavier Edwards each had two hits and an RBI for Miami’s offense. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also drove in two runs for the Marlins’ lineup.

Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Baltimore is 60-41 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a 1.5-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have dropped three straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Marlins 0-2.

So far, the Orioles have been good, having gone 20-9 in divisional games. At home, they are 30-22 and 30-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 48-33 and 12-8 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 21-8-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.

When the Orioles are on the road, they are 30-19 against the run line this season. They are 15-5 against the run line as an underdog, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.8. Their overall run line record is 55-46, and their average run margin on the road is 1.2.

When the Baltimore Orioles play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have had an average of 9.0 runs scored this season, and their over/under record is 52-39. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 16-13. Overall, 25.7% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their over streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his last outing, he went six innings and gave up one earned run, coming away with the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Burnes has allowed just one earned run in three of them. The only blemish in that stretch was the outing in which he gave up three earned runs. Burnes has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.86 ERA compared to 2.10 at home.

Anthony Santander has been on a tear for the Orioles, going 12/36 (.333) with four homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .243 with 27 home runs and 66 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .285 with 28 homers and 63 RBIs. Santander comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak, while Colton Cowser has a five-game streak going.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs scored at 4.9 per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the top team in terms of slugging percentage and have the best isolated power mark in the league.

Miami is 37-65 overall and 27.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone just 9-21 in divisional games. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they are winning their series vs. the Orioles 2-0.

At home, the Marlins are 22-33 compared to a 15-32 mark on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 4-13 as the favorite, but they have gone 33-52 as the underdog. Miami has an overall series record of 8-21-3 this year.

While the Marlins have struggled to cover the run line at home this season, they have been a solid bet on the road, going 23-24. Miami has covered the run line in two straight games and in two straight as an underdog. The Marlins have covered the run line in 45 of their 85 games this season, but have only covered it twice as the favorite.

The Miami Marlins are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for the Marlins’ games this season. Miami has a 55-45 over/under record on the year, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over has hit in 18 of their 34 games with an 8.5 over/under line, and their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs in 16.7% of their games this season. Their current over streak is at 3 games.

Roddery Muñoz is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mets, where he took the loss. In that start, he went five innings and gave up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Muñoz has made 10 starts and is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .224 this season off the right-hander. Muñoz has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. His walk rate is 4.66 per nine innings. The last time he faced the Orioles, he gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .236, and their on-base percentage of .288 is also near the bottom of the league. Miami’s team ISO of .122 is the worst in the league.

Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs is 13th best in the league. His 46 RBIs is also the 2nd best mark on the team. Over his last seven games, Jake Burger has gone 7/27 with two homers, and Xavier Edwards has gone 9/21 in that stretch. Josh Bell and Jonah Bride are both on three-game hitting streaks.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us some room to spare on the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for an Orioles win is at -268, and we do see them coming out on top. Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Roddery Muñoz is predicted to finish with four.

Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Orioles on the moneyline
• The Orioles should also cover at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report