Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Orioles are favored on the money line today, as they are at -148 compared to the Marlins at +125. This interleague matchup is taking place at 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Orioles are 1st in the AL East with a record of 60-40, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East at 36-65.
Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, while the Orioles are going with Chayce McDermott. Wednesday’s over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this game.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Baltimore Orioles odds
Miami Marlins vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- 3-2 is the record of Orioles in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Marlins have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- The Orioles have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 3-7.
- The Marlins have a 2-8 record vs. the runline and a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Miami picked up a 6-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense got off to a fast start, scoring four runs in the 2nd and adding two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Orioles got on the board with one run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 3rd.
Kyle Tyler only went 4 2/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. A.J. Puk got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. Albert Suarez had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going just two innings and giving up six runs.
Jesus Sanchez and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each homered for the Marlins, while Josh Bell went 2/4 with two RBIs. Otto Lopez also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Miami’s offense.
Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
With an overall record of 60-40, the Orioles lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Yankees. The Orioles have dropped two straight games, and this came after winning three in a row. Their overall series record is 21-8-3, and they have won three straight series on the road. At home, the Orioles are 30-22 this year.
Baltimore has gone 20-9 against other teams in the AL East. As the road favorite, the Orioles are 21-12 this year, and they are 48-32 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, they are 12-8 this season. The Orioles have dropped two straight games on the road, with their overall road record being 30-18.
When the Orioles are on the road, they are a solid bet to cover the run line, as they are 30-18 on the run line away from home this season. They have an average run margin of +1.2 on the road, which is better than their overall average run margin of +0.9. They are also a profitable 15-5 against the run line when they are the underdog.
When the Orioles hit the road to take on the Marlins, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.0. Baltimore has played to the over in 51 of their 90 games this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles are 16-13 to the over.
The Orioles will be sending Chayce McDermott to the mound today against the Marlins. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Anthony Santander has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 10/29 in his last seven games with four homers and nine RBIs. His four homers in this stretch have moved him into 2nd on the team and 4th in the league. Overall, he is batting .242 this season. Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ top power threat, as his 28 homers are 3rd in the league and the most on the team.
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 2nd in scoring, averaging 5 runs per game. Not only are they the top home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the top slugging percentage in the league. Overall, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the MLB.
Miami is 36-65 overall, and they are 28.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are just 9-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are currently in 5th place in the division and trail the Nationals by 11 games for the 4th spot in the division standings.
At home, the Marlins are 21-33 this season, and they are 15-32 on the road. For the year, they are just 4-13 as the favorite, but they have gone 32-52 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 8-21-3, and they are 1-0 in their current series vs. the Orioles. They also come in with a record of 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When the Marlins win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, with an average run differential of 2.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a larger margin, with an average run differential of -3.7 runs per game. As a result, they have a run line record of 46-55, with a run line record of 23-31 at home and 23-24 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-40 against the run line in those games, compared to just 2-15 as the favorite.
The Miami Marlins are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is also 8.5 runs. Miami has a 54-45 over/under record on the year, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 18-16. So far this season, 17 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.8% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.
Through eight starts, Edward Cabrera has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 7.36 for the Marlins. He has made one quality start this year and is averaging 11.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Cabrera’s most recent outing came on July 19th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has a 5.54 ERA at home compared to 14.1 on the road.
Over his last seven games, Jake Burger has been on fire for the Marlins, going 11/28 with three homers and seven RBIs. Burger is also on an eight-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .239 with a .284 on-base percentage.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.5 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per game. Miami’s offense is also last in the league in home runs and have the league’s worst isolated power figure. Overall, they are batting just .235.
Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -148. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-4, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at some of today’s player projections, we have Edward Cabrera finishing with nine strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters. As for the Orioles, they are projected to finish with 12 strikeouts, which is fourth most in the league.
Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- The Orioles should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Coulombe | Out | Elbow |
| Albert Suárez | Questionable | Lower Leg |
| Jorge Mateo | Questionable | Arm |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Ramón Urías | Probable | Neck |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
