Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Giants and Dodgers is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. The Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -138, while the Giants are at +117. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Clayton Kershaw will be on the mound for the Dodgers, while the Giants are starting Logan Webb. San Francisco comes into the game with a record of 49-54, while the Dodgers are 61-42 and are 1st in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – San Francisco Giants odds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Giants are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Dodgers have gone 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Dodgers are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
San Francisco cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only three runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +163 on the money line.
Robbie Ray only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Tyler Glasnow struggled on the mound for the Dodgers, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Matt Chapman and Mike Yastrzemski each homered for the Giants, while Heliot Ramos scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/5. Chapman, Yastrzemski, and Ramos were the only three Giants hitters to have more than one hit.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 49-54 overall this season, and they are 12 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are in 4th place in the division and have gone 17-18 in divisional matchups this year. The Giants are on the road today, and they have a road record of 21-32.
As the road underdog, the Giants are 14-23 this year, and they are 27-23 when favored. San Francisco has gone 28-22 at home this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Giants are 16-13-2, but they need to win today to avoid losing this series vs. the Dodgers.
When betting the run line, the Giants have been a better bet on the road this season, going 28-25 compared to 21-29 at home. They have an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game overall, but that number is slightly worse on the road at -0.6. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 31-22 compared to 18-32 as the favorite.
When the San Francisco Giants play on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. Overall, the Giants have a 54-46 over/under record this season, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 12 of 19 games. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and only 14.6% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with a 3.59 ERA. Webb’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .260 off him this year. In his last outing, Webb took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Webb’s ERA on the road is 4.84, compared to 3.33 at home.
San Francisco’s offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been pretty consistent, averaging 4.3 runs per game on the road and 4.4 runs per game at home. The Giants are batting .242 as a team, which is 11th in the league, and are also 10th in on-base percentage. San Francisco’s team on-base percentage is .313.
Over the team’s last five games, Tyler Fitzgerald has been on fire, going 8/14 with four home runs and six RBIs. This has also put him on a six-game hitting streak. Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 14, with Ramos also leading the club with 48 RBIs.
With a record of 61-42, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres. Los Angeles will take on the Giants today with a home record of 33-20, and they are 28-22 on the road this season. So far, they have gone 20-16 in divisional games.
Los Angeles has gone 58-35 as the favorite this year and just 3-7 as the underdog. The Dodgers are 18-14-1 in series this year, and they are coming into today’s game having gone 6-4 over their last 10. Currently, they lead the Giants 2-1 in the series.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is just below .500 at 50-53, but they are 26-24 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.0 runs per game. At home, their run line record is 24-29, with a scoring margin of 0.8 runs per game.
The Dodgers have an over/under record of 53-50 this season, with an average of 9 runs scored per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and in games with that line, the over has hit in 24 of 41 contests. Overall, 31.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s, while 29.1% have had lower lines.
Clayton Kershaw is coming off a season in which he made 24 starts and finished with a record of 13-5. His ERA for the season was 2.46, and he made 11 quality starts. Last season, he faced the Giants three times and went 2-1 with an ERA of 1.27. Kershaw’s WHIP for the season was 1.06, and his FIP was 4.03. On the year, he allowed 19 home runs and had a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.4. For the season, Kershaw averaged 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings and 1.7 walks per game. His batting average allowed was .203, and his on-base percentage allowed was .266. His slugging percentage allowed was .358, and his OPS allowed was .624. Last season, Kershaw made 24 appearances and averaged one strikeout per inning.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 30 homers are 2nd in the MLB and the best mark on the Dodgers. He also comes into the game batting .310 and has driven in 73 runs, which is 4th in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 21 homers are 9th in the league. Hernandez is batting .267 for the season and has gone 13/36 with two homers in his last 10 games.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5 runs per game. They also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league. Over their last 10 games, Gavin Lux has gone 11/29 with three homers, while Teoscar Hernandez and Freddie Freeman have also gone deep three times in this stretch.
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Dodgers matchup is that the Dodgers will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the money line sitting at -138, that is the way we would recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Clayton Kershaw is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Logan Webb, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the third worst.
If you’re looking for some other bets, you could look at the over/under, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We have this one going over, and as for the Giants, their team strikeout projection is at nine, compared to the Dodgers at eight.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Probable | Shoulder |
| Miguel Rojas | Out | Forearm |
| Chris Taylor | Questionable | Groin |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | Out | Hip |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
