Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Preview
At 10:10 PM ET, two NL West rivals face off, as the Padres are on the road to take on the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. The Padres are 91-67 on the season, while the Dodgers lead the division with a record of 94-64.
Walker Buehler is expected to start for the Dodgers, while the Padres are going with Joe Musgrove. Los Angeles is the money line favorite, with odds of -125 compared to the Padres at +106. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – San Diego Padres odds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Padres are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- In the Dodgers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Dodgers have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Padres have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a 8-2 record vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Padres series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as slight favorites at -139 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Dodgers had won the first two games of the series.
San Diego had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning, but Michael Kopech closed things out for the Dodgers. Jeremiah Estrada took the loss for the Padres out of the bullpen.
Jack Flaherty got the start for Los Angeles, going five innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision as Vesia got the win out of the bullpen. Dylan Cease had a similar outing for the Padres, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego is 91-67 overall this season, and they are three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are 25-23 against other teams in the NL West. San Diego has won three straight series and has an overall series record of 29-15-6 this year.
At home, the Padres are 45-36 and have gone 46-31 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres are 31-25 this year, and they are 60-42 when favored. They have been playing well recently, going 8-2 over their last 10 games.
San Diego is 49-28 vs. the run line on the road, including covering in two straight games. The Padres are 39-17 vs. the run line as an underdog, compared to 43-59 when favored. Their average run margin in wins is +3.6, while it’s -3.4 in losses.
San Diego’s over/under record for the season is 80-74, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 19-16. The Padres have played 25 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 15.8% of their games this season. Their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-5 with a 3.95 ERA. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, Musgrove finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run to the White Sox. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Musgrove has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.16 strikeouts per nine innings.
Not only do the Padres lead the league in team batting average, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. San Diego has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres also do a great job of putting the ball in play, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Over his last seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has three homers and is hitting .300. However, Manny Machado has also homered three times in this stretch but is just 6/26. For the season, Machado is hitting .275 with a team-high 29 homers and 104 RBIs. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as they have 85 and 89, respectively.
Los Angeles is 94-64 overall this season and leads the NL West by three games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 27-21 against other teams in the division and have won two straight series. Currently, their overall series record is 30-16-4.
At home, the Dodgers are 51-29 this season and 43-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers have gone 89-52 this season and just 5-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles is 7-3 overall in their last ten games.
The Dodgers have been a solid run line team this season, going 78-80 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 39-41 against the run line at Dodger Stadium. They have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game overall, with a +0.9 run margin on the road and a +0.8 run margin at home. They have been favored in most of their games, going 71-70 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4 runs per game.
With the over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the Dodgers are playing in a game with a lower line than their average over/under line of 9 runs. The over/under record for the Dodgers this season is 87-67, and their combined run average in games is 9.4 runs per game. The under has hit in two straight games for the Dodgers.
Walker Buehler will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gets the start for the Dodgers today vs. the Padres. In that start vs. the Rockies, Buehler gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Looking at his overall numbers, Buehler has made 15 starts and has a record of 1-6. His ERA for the season is 5.63, along with a WHIP of 1.58. Opposing batters are hitting .279 off Buehler this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.06 strikeouts and 3.45 walks.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers, as he is batting .303 for the season and has gone 21/42 (.500) over his last 10 games, with six homers and 21 RBIs during that stretch. Ohtani’s 53 homers this season are 2nd in the league and the top mark on the Dodgers roster. Teoscar Hernández has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he has an eight-game hitting streak and is batting .269 for the season.
Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s best isolated power mark and are 2nd in team OPS. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are averaging 5.1 runs per game. This includes averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road and 5.0 runs per game at home.
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -125. We have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, but we would lean towards the over.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher prediction, we have Walker Buehler picking up the win and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Joe Musgrove, we have him finishing with six K’s.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Padres (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Miguel Rojas | Questionable | Groin |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Barnes | Out | Toe |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Mason McCoy | Out | Back |
| Jhony Brito | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
