Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the Pirates and Dodgers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line at -266. The money line odds for a Pirates win are sitting at +217, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Pittsburgh will be looking to snap a six-game losing streak, as they are 56-60 overall and 4th in the NL Central. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with a record of 68-49. Tyler Glasnow will start for the Dodgers, while the Pirates are sending Bailey Falter to the mound.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats
- The Pirates are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the other side, the Dodgers have gone 2-3 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- The Pirates have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Pirates by a score of 4-1. Los Angeles had a 3-1 lead after the 3rd inning and added an insurance run in the 5th. As for the Pirates, they scored their only run in the 9th.
River Ryan only went 4 2/3 innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Paul Skenes got the start for the Pirates and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.
Teoscar Hernandez was the difference for the Dodgers’ offense, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Gavin Lux also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs. As for the Pirates, Ke’Bryan Hayes hit a home run, while Michael A. Taylor went 2/4.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh is 56-60 overall and 4th in the NL Central, 11 games behind the Brewers. They will be looking to snap a six-game losing streak today, which includes dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 17-15 in divisional games.
At home, the Pirates are 27-31 this year and an even 29-29 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-39 this year, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh’s series record is 16-16-5, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Pirates are 35-23 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 48-23 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.2, while it is -3.4 in losing games.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are on the road today against the Los Angeles Dodgers, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Pirates games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 55-60. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Pirates have a record of 23-16, and 17.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
The Pirates are sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.87 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and he has issued just 2.58 walks per nine innings compared to 5.99 strikeouts. Falter’s last outing came on August 6th, where he went 2 innings, giving up three earned runs on two hits. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
So far this season, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their team batting average of .235 is 18th in the MLB, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts and on-base percentage. One thing the Pirates have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are currently 14th in the league in walks.
Over his last seven games, Oneil Cruz has gone 12/27 with a home run and five RBIs. Bryan Reynolds has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 with three homers in this stretch. Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .288 with 19 home runs.
With an overall record of 68-49, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 2.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have taken two straight games, and they are 21-18 against other teams in the NL West. So far, they have been good at home, going 37-22 compared to 31-27 on the road.
Los Angeles has been the favorite in most of their games, putting together a record of 64-39 as the favorite. As for their time as the underdog, the Dodgers are just 4-10 this year. At home, they have a record of 36-22 as the favorite. The Dodgers’ overall series record is 21-17-1.
Los Angeles has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 57-60 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 28-31 against the run line. The Dodgers have covered the run line in two straight games and are 51-52 against the run line as the favorite this season.
When the Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 62-55, and their average over/under line is set at 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Dodgers have a record of 26-20. In total, 33 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, making up 28.2% of their games.
The Dodgers are starting right-hander Tyler Glasnow today vs. the Pirates. This year, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.54 ERA. So far, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 11.62 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Glasnow picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 4.07 ERA compared to 4.09 on the road.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with Ohtani’s 35 homers ranking 1st on the team and 2nd in the league, while Hernandez is 2nd on the team with 26 homers. Ohtani is also 7th in the league with 83 RBIs, which is also the best mark on the team. Hernandez has been hot of late, hitting .400 over his last five games with three homers.
Overall, the Dodgers are 3rd in home runs this season and are 5th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been an elite home run hitting team this season and have been very good at drawing walks. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 8th in the league.
Our prediction for the Dodgers vs. Pirates game is to take the over, as we see the Dodgers coming out on top by a final score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, we see this as a great value, as you could also look to parlay this with a Dodgers win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tyler Glasnow finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for Bailey Falter, he is projected to finish with just four K’s, which is the second-worst among starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Pirates (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Chris Taylor | Out | Groin |
| Blake Treinen | Out | Hip |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| River Ryan | Out | Forearm |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out | Elbow |
| Joshua Palacios | Out | Hamstring |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Triceps |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Nick Gonzales | Out | Groin |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Out | Shoulder |
| Jared Jones | Out | Lat |
| Colin Holderman | Out | Wrist |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
