Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Dodgers head into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Brewers looking to extend their winning streak to three games. They are 55-35 and are first in the NL West, while the Brewers are 52-38 and are first in the NL Central. Milwaukee has lost three straight.
Justin Wrobleski will be on the mound for the Dodgers, while the Brewers are starting Dallas Keuchel. Los Angeles is the favorite at -159, while the money line odds for a Brewers win are sitting at +135. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the forecast is clear in Los Angeles.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Milwaukee Brewers odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Brewers are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Dodgers have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Brewers series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as slight favorites at -111 and squeaked out a 5-3 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Brewers could only muster two more runs in the 8th inning. As for the Dodgers, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th and added an insurance run in the 9th.
James Paxton got the start for the Dodgers, going just five innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Evan Phillips got the win out of the bullpen, and Alex Vesia got the save. Freddy Peralta only went four innings for the Brewers, giving up three earned runs on four hits.
Shohei Ohtani was the difference for the Dodgers, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Will Smith and Miguel Vargas each had two RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Dodgers, as they have dropped three straight games overall. The Brewers are 52-38 this season, putting them five games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 20-10 against other teams in the NL Central.
This season, the Brewers have been good at home, going 27-13, but they are just 25-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Brewers are 15-15 this season and 21-20 as the favorite. The Brewers’ overall series record is 17-8-3.
When the Brewers are favored, they are not a good bet on the run line, as they are 20-29. However, when they are the underdog, they are 26-15. Their overall run line record is 46-44, and their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game.
With a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers today. The over/under line for this game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Brewers have played 86 games this season, and only 4 of them have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, accounting for just 4.4% of their games. Their over/under record for those games is 2-3, while their overall over/under record for the season is 47-39.
Dallas Keuchel is on the mound for the Brewers as they take on the Dodgers in Los Angeles. Keuchel has started 2 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. In his last start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits.
Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 14/40 in his last 10 games with three homers and eight runs scored. For the season, he is batting .322 with 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team. William Contreras is batting .297 and has the 2nd most RBIs on the team at 51. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead in homers, but Adames has the better batting average at .234, compared to .219 for Hoskins.
As a team, the Brewers are 10th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are 2nd in the league in on-base percentage. The Brewers are also near the top of the league in walks and have done a good job of limiting strikeouts.
With an overall record of 55-35, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers and are 18-15 in the division this year. The Dodgers’ overall winning streak is at two games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Dodgers are 28-18 this season and have gone 27-17 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 53-31 this year and 2-4 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 17-12-1, and they lost two straight series before winning their most recent series.
The Dodgers have been a solid run line team this season, going 45-45 overall. They are 21-25 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is just 1.0. They have been better on the run line on the road, going 24-20. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-0 ATS as the favorite in those games.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are home against the Milwaukee Brewers today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 47-43. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 2-5. So far this season, only 8.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
The Dodgers will be sending Justin Wrobleski to the mound today against the Brewers. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 28 home runs are 2nd in the MLB and the most on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting .316 for the season. Teoscar Hernandez is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Over his last eight games, Hernandez is batting .314.
Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s 3rd best scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Dodgers are the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Dodgers matchup is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that they are predicted to win and have a higher payout than the over at -159, we would recommend taking the Dodgers on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Dallas Keuchel is predicted to finish with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters today. As for the Dodgers, they are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts, which is the third most in the league.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Knee |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Gary Sánchez | Out | Calf |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Joe Ross | Out | Back |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Shoulder |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Enoli Paredes | Out | Forearm |
| Joey Ortiz | Out | Neck |
| Jared Koenig | Out | Forearm |
| Robert Gasser | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Dunn | Out | Back |
