Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Preview
At 3:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Dodgers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and features a Miami club that is just 10-28 this season. The Dodgers are 25-13 and are sending Gavin Stone to the mound vs. a Marlins team that has Ryan Weathers starting.
Los Angeles comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -283, and the over/under line is at 9 runs. Looking at the Marlins, they have a money line payout of +227. You can catch this one on SNLA.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Miami Marlins odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Marlins are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 7-3 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
It was all Dodgers in the last game of this series, as they took down the Marlins by a score of 8-2. Los Angeles had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -336 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers and Edward Cabrera for the Marlins. Yamamoto went eight innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Cabrera only lasted two innings and gave up four runs on one hit.
At the plate, Max Muncy and Gavin Lux each homered for the Dodgers. Muncy, Lux, Jazz Chisholm Jr., and Bryan De La Cruz each had two RBIs for their respective teams.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami is 10-28 overall, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Dodgers 0-2.
At home, the Marlins are just 5-15 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 5-13. This season, the Marlins are 3-11 as the favorite and 7-17 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 1-9-1 this year.
When the Miami Marlins are on the road this season, they have been a good bet to cover the run line with an 11-27 record. Their average run margin is -2.0 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in seven of their 18 road games. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 2-2 in their last four games as the run line favorite.
The Miami Marlins have been on a four-game over streak, and their games have averaged 10 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 22-16, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. So far this season, only 5.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Miami is sending left-hander Ryan Weathers to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.54. Weathers’ WHIP for the season is 1.37. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, picking up the win vs. the Giants and allowing just two earned runs in six innings. Weathers has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. come into the game as the Marlins’ top home run hitters, as De La Cruz has seven homers, and Chisholm Jr. has five. De La Cruz is also batting .263 this season and went 9/33 in his last nine games, with two homers and six RBIs. Chisholm Jr. is hitting .243 for the season and has gone deep twice in his last nine games. Nick Gordon is also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers but is batting just .205.
As a team, the Marlins are 23rd in the league in scoring at 3.7 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.
Los Angeles is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 25-13, and they have won six straight games. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres and have gone 7-4 against other teams in the division.
So far, the Dodgers have been really good at home, going 14-8, and they have gone 11-5 on the road. Los Angeles has been really good in night games this year, putting up a mark of 16-6. The Dodgers have won five straight games as the favorite and are 24-12 overall in that role. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 1-1 this year.
Los Angeles is 20-18 against the run line this season, including a 10-12 mark at home. The Dodgers have covered the run line in 3 straight games as the favorite, and their average run margin in wins is +4.2.
The Dodgers have had a combined run average of 9.2 this season, and their over/under record is 22-16. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 2-1, and they have hit the over in two straight games. So far this season, only 18.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Through six starts, Gavin Stone has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 4.07 for the Dodgers. He has made three quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, Stone gave up five hits, issued one walk, and finished with five strikeouts. Stone’s ERA at home is 3.75, compared to 8.14 on the road. So far, he has allowed a total of two homers. Stone’s WHIP for the season is 1.35.
Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been the top two hitters for the Dodgers so far this season, as Ohtani is batting .365 with a league-leading 11 homers, and Betts has a batting average of .349 and has gone deep six times. Ohtani has been on a tear of late, going 10/17 in his last five games, with four homers and eight RBIs. Max Muncy has also been swinging the bat well, hitting .400 with four homers over his last four games.
As a team, the Dodgers are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.6 runs per game, and they also have the league’s best team batting average at .271. Not only are they the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. We actually have the Dodgers taking this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at some potential starting pitcher props, we have Gavin Stone finishing with seven strikeouts and Ryan Weathers with five. Stone is projected to go seven innings, while Weathers is predicted to go five.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, you could take the Dodgers, but with a payout of -283, we prefer the over.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Dodgers should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Evan Phillips | Out | Hamstring |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
