Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Preview
At 10:10 from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have an NL matchup between the Marlins and Dodgers. Miami comes into the game with a record of 10-27, while the Dodgers are 24-13. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line at -335.
Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers. This game can be seen on MLBN.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Miami Marlins odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Marlins are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Dodgers have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Marlins series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as heavy favorites at -346 on the money line and squeaked out a 6-3 win. Miami had a chance to tie the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run.
Walker Buehler got the start for the Dodgers, going just four innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. Ryan Yarbrough came out of the bullpen for the win, and Alex Vesia got the save. Roddery Muñoz had a rough outing for Miami, taking the loss.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez each homered for the Dodgers, while James Outman scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Freddie Freeman also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami is on the road today vs. the Dodgers, and they are just 10-27 overall this season. The Marlins are really struggling vs. other NL East teams, going 1-9 so far. Currently, they are 15.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead.
The Marlins have dropped five straight games, and they are just 4-6 over their last 10. So far, they have really struggled at home, going 5-15, and they are just 5-12 on the road. This season, they are 3-11 as the favorite and 7-16 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 1-9-1 this year.
The Marlins have been a poor run line team this season, going just 11-26 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 7-10, but are just 4-16 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 10-13 compared to just 1-13 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -1.9 runs per game, but it’s -3.9 in their losses and +3.5 in their wins.
Despite the Miami Marlins’ over/under record of 21-16, the over has hit in three straight games, and the combined run average in their games this season is 9.5. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the over is 2-3, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Overall, 67.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with the over hitting in 12 of those 25 games.
Edward Cabrera will be making his 4th start of the season for the Marlins, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has a win and a loss in his first two starts, and in his last outing, he took a no-decision vs. the Rockies. Cabrera has been striking out batters at a high rate, as he has 26 Ks in just 15 1/3 innings pitched.
So far this season, the Marlins offense is averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. Overall, they are batting .227, and their team isolated power of .112 is the worst in the league. Miami’s team on-base percentage is just .285, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Over the team’s last nine games, Bryan De La Cruz has gone 10/33 (.303) with one home run and five RBIs. This has moved his season average to .264. De La Cruz and Nick Gordon are the top two home run hitters for the Marlins this season, but Gordon is batting just .212 for the season.
Los Angeles is hosting the Marlins today with an overall record of 24-13, good for 1st place in the NL West. The Dodgers hold a 5.5-game lead over the Padres for the division lead. The Dodgers have won five straight games, and this season, they are 7-4 in divisional matchups.
The Dodgers have been really good at home this year, coming in with a mark of 13-8. On the road, Los Angeles has gone 11-5 this season. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 16-6 this year. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 23-12, and they are 1-1 as the underdog this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 8-5 and have won four straight series.
When the Dodgers are at home, they are 9-12 against the run line, but they have covered in three straight games. Their average run margin is +1.5 runs per game at home, and they are 18-17 against the run line as the favorite this season.
Los Angeles has played 24 games this season with an over/under line of 8 or higher, and the over has hit in 16 of those contests. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. In their last game, the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs, and the game finished with 9 runs scored.
Through seven starts, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 2.91 for the Dodgers. He has made three quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, Yamamoto went six innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .225 off Yamamoto, and he is averaging 11.12 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 0.0 ERA compared to 13.72 at home.
Shohei Ohtani comes into the game as the league’s top home run hitter, with 11 homers this season, and he is also batting a league-best .370. Ohtani has been even better of late, going 13/24 in his last six games, including four home runs. Mookie Betts is also swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, as he is batting .356 for the season and has six homers.
Not only are the Dodgers the league’s top-scoring offense at 5.5 runs per game, they also have the best team batting average in the league at .273. As a team, they are also the top home run-hitting team in the league, and they have the best on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS in the league.
Our prediction for the Dodgers vs. Marlins game is to take the over, as we see this one finishing with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Dodgers. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there is a bit of wiggle room, and we would take the over even if the line moves up to 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Edward Cabrera, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is 12th best among starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Evan Phillips | Out | Hamstring |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
