Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Preview
The Marlins head into Monday night’s matchup vs. the Dodgers looking to pull off the upset, as they are +220 on the money line. As for the Dodgers, they are the heavy favorite at -274. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and tonight’s game is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles.
First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET, and you can catch this one on MLBN. Walker Buehler is starting for the Dodgers, and he is facing off against Roddery Munoz for the Marlins.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Miami Marlins odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- The Marlins are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- In the Dodgers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 8-2 straight-up, and have gone 7-3 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami is coming off a big 12-3 win over the Athletics to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +117 on the money line. It was a four-run 1st inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Athletics could only score three runs, all of which came in the 4th.
Sixto Sanchez got the start for the Marlins, going four innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Miami’s offense was carried by Nick Gordon, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Miami is just 10-26 overall this season, and they are 14.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins lost two straight games to close out their series vs. the Athletics.
At home, the Marlins are just 5-15 this year compared to a 5-11 mark on the road. This season, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 3-11. As for how they have done as the underdog, Miami is 7-15. So far, they have an overall series record of 1-9-1.
When betting the Marlins’ run line, it’s important to note that they have been a better bet on the road than at home, where they are just 4-16 against the run line. Overall, they are 11-25 against the run line, but they are 7-9 against the run line on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 10-12 against the run line in those games. In their wins, they have an average run differential of +3.5, while in their losses, they are getting outscored by an average of -4.0 runs per game.
When the Miami Marlins take the field against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have gone over that line in 10 of their 17 games with an 8.5 over/under line this season, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. Miami’s over/under record for the season is 20-16, and they are currently on a two-game over streak.
Roddery Muñoz is on the mound for the Marlins today as they take on the Dodgers on the road. Muñoz is coming off a win in his last start, where he went 6 innings and struck out 7, giving up just 1 earned run. He also went 5 innings in his first start of the season, finishing with 7 strikeouts.
So far this season, the Marlins offense has been one of the league’s worst, as they are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. Miami’s team batting average is just .228, and they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. However, they do come into the game with a collective batting average of .270 over their last 10 games.
Bryan De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/37 in his last 10 games with one home run. For the season, he is batting .264 with a team-leading 18 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Nick Gordon are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Chisholm is batting just .234, and Gordon is hitting only .207.
Shohei Ohtani was hot at the plate in the Angels’ most recent game vs. the Braves, going 4/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Angels really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another two runs in the 6th to pick up the 5-1 win. Going into the game, the Angels were the slight favorite at +128 on the money line.
James Paxton started for the Dodgers, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Los Angeles is currently 23-13 overall and leads the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are riding a four-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-4 in divisional games this year. At home, the Dodgers are 12-8 and have gone 11-5 on the road.
So far, the Dodgers have been really good in night games, going 16-6. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 22-12 this year and 1-1 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 8-5 and have won four straight series.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per victory. They have covered the run line in 18 of their 36 games this season, including 10 of 16 on the road. Their overall run line record is 18-18, with a scoring margin of +1.8 runs per game.
Los Angeles has played 10 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs this season, and the over has hit in 12 of their 20 games overall. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 20-16 on the year. Their games have had an average line of 9 runs, and they’ve played in 27.8% of games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs.
Walker Buehler takes the mound for the Dodgers in today’s game versus the Marlins. It’s his opportunity to start the season on the right foot, as this will be his first outing of the year.
Los Angeles comes into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Dodgers have also been the league’s best hitting team so far, with a team batting average of .273. Not only do they have the most home runs in the league, but they also have the best on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been the team’s top two hitters this season, with Ohtani batting .364 with a team-high 10 homers, and Betts is right behind him with a batting average of .352. Ohtani has gone deep four times in his last nine games, while Max Muncy has four homers in his last six games.
Our prediction for today’s Marlins vs. Dodgers game is to take the Marlins on the money line, with the payout sitting at +220. We actually have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Walker Buehler finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him with the eighth most among starting pitchers. As for Roddery Muñoz, his projection is also at six strikeouts, which would have him ninth in the league.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+220)
- The Marlins are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Walker Buehler | Probable | Elbow |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Evan Phillips | Out | Hamstring |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Jake Burger | Out | Oblique |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Bryan Hoeing | Out | Hamstring |
