Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the Rockies and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -352. The Rockies are +286 on the money line, and their record is 60-95, while the Dodgers are 92-63.
Antonio Senzatela will go for the Rockies, while the Dodgers are sending Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and the forecast for Sunday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 60s.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Colorado Rockies odds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Rockies are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Dodgers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 6-4 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
It was all Colorado in the last game of this series, as the Rockies took down the Dodgers by a score of 6-3. The Rockies offense only had two more hits than the Dodgers and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +247 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cal Quantrill for the Rockies and Walker Buehler for the Dodgers. Quantrill only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Buehler was tagged for four homers and four runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Colorado’s two homers came from Charlie Blackmon and Ryan McMahon. Blackmon, Ezequiel Tovar, and Victor Vodnik each had two RBIs for the Rockies’ offense.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
With a record of 60-95, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 32 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Overall, they are 18-30 against other teams in the NL West. Colorado will look to pick up a win today on the road, where they are just 24-56 this season. They have been slightly better at home, going 36-39.
As the road underdog, the Rockies are 24-56 this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 58-93. When favored, the Rockies are just 2-2 this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 13-31-4, and they have won two straight series.
When the Rockies win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +2.8. However, when they lose, they tend to lose big, with an average run differential of -4.1. This has led to a run line record of 77-78 overall, with a mark of 40-35 at home. As the underdog, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 76-75, while they are just 1-3 when favored.
The Rockies are on the road against the Dodgers with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Colorado’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-76. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 11-11. Overall, 58.1% of their games have had higher O/U lines than 8.5 runs.
Antonio Senzatela will be making his second start of the season for the Rockies and is on the road against the Dodgers. In his first start of the season, he went 3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 4 hits. He did strike out 2 batters and gave up 1 home run.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the majors. They have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average on balls in play. However, they have the 3rd highest strikeout rate in the league and are near the bottom of the league in terms of walks.
Over his last 10 games, Ezequiel Tovar has gone 10/42 with three homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .266 with a team-high 74 RBIs. Tovar’s 25 homers is also the best mark on the team. Michael Toglia and Tovar are both on 5-game hitting streaks coming into the game. Toglia has 25 homers this season but is batting just .217.
Los Angeles is 92-63 overall and leads the NL West by three games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 25-20 in divisional games this season. At home, the Dodgers are 49-28 and have gone 43-35 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 87-51, but just 5-12 as the underdog.
The Dodgers have an overall series record of 28-18-4 this season, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games. Los Angeles will host the Rockies today, with the series tied at one game apiece.
When betting the run line in Dodgers games this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 78-77 against the run line. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 39-38 vs. the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been the favorite in 138 of their 155 games.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing at home against the Colorado Rockies today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.4, and their over/under record is 86-65. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 34-25. So far this season, 49 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.6% of their games, while 47 games have had lower lines, making up 30.3% of their games.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Rockies at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 2.63. Yamamoto has made seven quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that September 16th start vs. the Braves, he went four innings, giving up just two hits and two walks. Yamamoto has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.43 strikeouts and 2.09 walks.
Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear of late for the Dodgers, going 14/33 in his last eight games with five homers and 18 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .297 with 52 homers and 122 RBIs, which are both the best marks in the MLB. Ohtani is also on a five-game hitting streak. Teoscar Hernandez is also a significant power threat for the Dodgers, as he has 30 homers this season, which is 2nd on the team and 12th in the league.
Overall, the Dodgers have the league’s best isolated power mark, and they are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. As a team, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest.
Our pick for the Rockies vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We see the Dodgers coming out on top with a final score of 5-4, meaning there is some good value in taking the over in this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with six strikeouts compared to Antonio Senzatela with just four. However, Yamamoto is projected to finish with a better ERA than Senzatela, and we have him picking up the win.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Barnes | Out | Toe |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Kinley | Out | Elbow |
| Brenton Doyle | Questionable | Knee |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |
