Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Preview
At 10:10 PM ET, the Cubs and Dodgers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -187. The Cubs are +156 on the money line, and their record is 73-70, which has them 2nd in the NL Central. Los Angeles has won two straight and is 86-57 overall.
The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the forecast for Monday’s game in LA calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 100’s. Kyle Hendricks is starting for the Cubs, and he will be facing off against Walker Buehler for the Dodgers.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Chicago Cubs odds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- The Cubs are 5-0 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- In the Dodgers’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 6-4 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Cubs have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago is coming off a big 2-1 win over the Yankees to close out their series. The Cubs were the +135 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Cubs, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Yankees scored a run in the 2nd.
Jameson Taillon put together a good start for the Cubs, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Chicago’s offense was carried by Isaac Paredes, who went 1/3 with two RBIs.
Chicago is on the road today, taking on the Dodgers, with the Cubs nine games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Overall, the Cubs are 73-70 and went 21-28 in divisional games. The Cubs have won six straight games as the road team and are 35-37 on the road this year.
The Cubs have an overall record of 38-33 at home compared to 35-37 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 71 of their games, going 38-33 in those games. As the underdog, the Cubs’ record is also 35-37 this season. Chicago’s series record is 20-23-3 this year, and they dropped their most recent series vs. the Yankees.
The Cubs have been a good bet on the run line on the road this season, going 43-29. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game on the road. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 47-25, compared to just 23-48 as the favorite.
Chicago Cubs games have gone over the 9.5 run total in 7 of their 12 games this season, with an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game. Overall, the Cubs have an over/under record of 65-73 this season, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. Their games have gone under the 9.5 run total in 87.4% of their games this season, and they are currently on a 3-game under streak.
Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 3-11 with a 6.60 ERA. Looking at his home/road splits, Hendricks is 2-5 on the road with a 9.44 ERA compared to 1-6 at home with a 5.59 ERA. Overall, he has allowed 20 home runs and is coming off a start in which he gave up one homer. Hendricks has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. However, they have been better on the road, putting up an average of 5 runs per contest (7th in the league). As a team, the Cubs are batting just .238, which is 17th in the league, and they are also just 17th in home runs. Chicago comes into the game with a team on-base percentage of .314, which is 10th in the league.
Over the last six games, Dansby Swanson has been swinging a hot bat for the Cubs, going 7/21 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, Ian Happ leads the team with 23 homers and 81 RBIs, but he is batting just .245. Seiya Suzuki is batting .271 and is 2nd on the team with 19 homers.
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 4-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -164. Offensively, the Dodgers scored their four runs on nine hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Jack Flaherty put together a good start for the Dodgers, going 7 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out six. Shohei Ohtani was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored and driving in one run. The Dodgers’s other run came from Max Muncy, who went 1/2 with a double.
With an overall record of 86-57, the Dodgers lead the NL West by six games over the Padres. The Dodgers are currently on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games. This season, they are 24-19 in the division and have gone 47-25 at home.
Los Angeles has been good as the favorite this season, putting together an 81-46 mark. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 5-11. At home, they have won two straight as the favorite and are 46-25 in this spot. So far this year, their series record is 28-17-3.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Dodgers, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They are just a game above .500 overall at 72-71, but they have been slightly better at home, going 37-35. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game, and they have been favored in 127 of their 143 games, going 65-62 in those contests.
Oddsmakers have set the over/under line for the Los Angeles Dodgers’ game against the Chicago Cubs at 9.5 runs, which is slightly higher than the teams’ combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season. The Dodgers have played 140 games this season, and only 9 of them have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, accounting for just 6.3% of their games. Overall, the Dodgers have an over/under record of 76-64 this season, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game.
Through 12 starts, Walker Buehler has a record of 1-4 and an ERA of 5.67. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Buehler has not won a game since June 3rd and has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.61 and is averaging 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge power threat for the Dodgers this season, as his 46 home runs are 2nd in the league and the most on the team. Ohtani also comes into the game with a strong batting average of .291. Teoscar Hernandez is also a power threat in the lineup, as his 28 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Hernandez is batting .266 for the season.
Over his last seven games, Mookie Betts has gone 10/24 with two homers and eight RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .417. Freddie Freeman has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 6/22 with two homers in his last seven games. Betts also comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak.
Our prediction for the Cubs vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9.5 runs. We have the Dodgers winning this one 6-5, giving us a bit of wiggle room with the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Walker Buehler is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Kyle Hendricks with just four. However, we have Buehler finishing with a better chance of picking up the win, as Hendricks is second worst among starters today.
Offensively, the Dodgers are projected to finish with 11 strikeouts compared to the Cubs with eight. The Cubs are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Dodgers, who we have finishing with 11.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Dodgers are the way to go, but we see much better value in taking the over.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Teoscar Hernández | Questionable | Foot |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
