Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Preview
At 10:10 PM ET, the Cubs and Dodgers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -174. The money line odds for a Cubs win are sitting at +146, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, with a record of 75-70. The Dodgers lead the NL West at 86-59.
Chicago will be looking to pull off the upset with Bobby Miller on the mound, while the Dodgers are starting Jordan Wicks. Los Angeles has lost two straight, while the Cubs have won three in a row. The over/under line for this one is at 9 runs, and it will be televised on MARQ.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- The Cubs are 5-0 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- As the favorite, the Dodgers are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Cubs have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Chicago picked up a 6-3 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs offense got off to a fast start, scoring five of their six runs in the 1st and 2nd innings. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with three runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 5th.
Seiya Suzuki and Nico Hoerner each had three hits and an RBI for the Cubs. Pete Crow-Armstrong also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Isaac Paredes scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/5.
Shota Imanaga pitched well for the Cubs in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Porter Hodge got the save. Evan Phillips took the loss for Los Angeles out of the bullpen.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago is 75-70 overall, and they are 8.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cubs have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone just 21-28 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Cubs are 38-33 this year, and they are an even 37-37 on the road. As the road underdog, the Cubs have gone 23-27 this year, and they have won eight straight games as the road underdog. The Cubs’ overall series record is 20-23-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Cubs are 72-73 against the run line this season, including a 45-29 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 49-25 as an underdog. The Cubs’ average run margin in winning games is 3.8, compared to -3.2 in losses.
Chicago Cubs games have gone over the total in two straight, but the Cubs have played to the under in 72.4% of their games this season. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their O/U record is 67-73. When the O/U line has been set at 9 runs, the Cubs are 6-12-3.
Left-hander Jordan Wicks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. Wicks has made eight starts this season and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 4.03. In his 38 innings of work, he has a WHIP of 1.42 and has issued 3.32 walks per nine innings compared to 8.53 strikeouts. Wicks’ last outing came on September 6th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and have the 11th best on-base percentage in the league. The Cubs have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they are near the top of the league in terms of drawing walks.
Over his last nine games, Ian Happ has gone 9/34 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he leads the Cubs with 23 homers and 81 RBIs. Seiya Suzuki is 2nd on the team with 19 homers and is batting .273 for the season. Nico Hoerner comes into the game with a batting average of .263 and has gone deep five times this season.
With an overall record of 86-59, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers have dropped two straight games, and this comes with them trailing the Cubs 0-2 in the series. So far, their record vs. other NL teams is 62-40.
Los Angeles has gone 47-27 at home compared to 39-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 81-48 this year and 5-11 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 28-17-3 this year.
The Dodgers have a run line record of 37-37 at home this season, and their average run margin in those games is 0.9 runs per game. They have lost their last two games against the run line at home and are 65-64 against the run line as the favorite this season.
Today’s over/under line is set at 9 runs for the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Chicago Cubs. The Dodgers have gone over the total in 78 of their 142 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, the Dodgers have gone over the total 11 times, under the total 9 times, and pushed 3 times. The over has hit in the Dodgers’ last two games.
Right-hander Bobby Miller is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Cubs at home. Miller has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 7.79 ERA. So far, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Miller’s ERA on the road is 13.24 compared to 3.38 at home, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Angels in which he gave up three homers and seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is hitting .290 with a league-leading 46 home runs and 101 RBIs, which is 4th in the MLB. Mookie Betts has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/21 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. Betts also comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak.
Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s best offensive teams this season, as they are 3rd in runs per game and have the MLB’s 3rd best team OPS. They are also near the top of the league in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.9 at home.
Our prediction for today’s Cubs vs. Dodgers game is to take the over, with the line being set at 9 runs. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there is some value in taking the Dodgers on the money line, but we see the payout being better by going with the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jordan Wicks going seven innings and finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Bobby Miller, we have him going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Teoscar Hernández | Questionable | Foot |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
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