Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Preview
From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, we have the Cubs and Dodgers facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 10:10 PM ET and is being televised by TBS. The money line odds have the Dodgers at -162 compared to the Cubs at +138. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Chicago comes in with a record of 74-70 and they are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 86-58. The Cubs will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive. Tonight’s pitching matchup features Shota Imanaga for the Cubs and Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Cubs are 5-0. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Cubs have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 6-4 against the runline.
Chicago cruised to a 10-4 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their ten runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their first run in the 5th and added three more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +162 on the money line.
Kyle Hendricks only went 4 1/3 innings for the Cubs but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Keegan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen. Walker Buehler had a rough outing for the Dodgers, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.
Mookie Betts and Shohei Ohtani each homered for the Dodgers, while Cody Bellinger went deep for the Cubs. Michael Busch had a huge game at the plate, going 4/5 with a homer.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
With an overall record of 74-70, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, 8.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Cubs have taken the first game of their series vs. the Dodgers and have won two straight games overall. Chicago is 21-28 against other NL Central teams this year.
Chicago has won seven straight games on the road, and they are 36-37 on the road overall. As the road underdog, the Cubs have gone 22-27 this year, and they are 38-33 as the favorite. The Cubs’ overall series record is 20-23-3, and they have lost two straight series.
The Cubs have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 71-73 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 44-29 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last three road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 48-25 against the run line in those games.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road against the Los Angeles Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 66-73. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 17-16. In 68.8% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs.
Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-3 with an ERA of 2.99. Imanaga’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02, and he has turned in 16 quality starts. In his last outing, Imanaga pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 7-1 and an ERA of 3.37 compared to 5-2 with a 3.89 ERA at home.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, the Cubs are batting .240, which is 15th in the league, and are also 17th in home runs. Chicago’s offense is also 11th in on-base percentage and 6th in drawing walks.
Over his last five games, Cody Bellinger has gone 6/17 with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 23 homers and 81 RBIs, but he is batting just .245. Seiya Suzuki is batting .270 and is 2nd on the team with 19 homers.
With an overall record of 86-58, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are looking to bounce back today vs. the Cubs, as they dropped the first game of the series. So far, they have gone 24-19 against other NL West teams.
At home, the Dodgers are 47-26 this season, and they are 39-32 on the road. This year, the Dodgers have really taken advantage of being the favorite, going 81-47. As the underdog, the Dodgers are just 5-11 this season.
The Dodgers have been a solid run line bet this year, going 72-72 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 37-36 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, and they have been a better bet as the favorite, going 65-63. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs per game.
When the Los Angeles Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs today against the Chicago Cubs. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-64. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 13-9. In 119 games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs 82.6% of the time.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Cubs at home. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-2 with a 2.92 ERA. Yamamoto’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 14 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off a short outing in which he went just two innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had gone at least five innings in five straight starts.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force in the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .292 with a league-leading 46 home runs and 101 RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and 87 RBIs. The Dodgers will be looking for Mookie Betts to keep up his hot hitting, as he has gone 9/22 with three homers over his last six games.
Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s top offenses this season, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They also have the league’s 3rd best team batting average and are 3rd in on-base percentage. Not only are they one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, but they also have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
Our prediction for the Cubs and Dodgers matchup is to take the over, as we see this one finishing with a 6-5 win for the Dodgers. However, with the payout for a Dodgers win being -162, we actually like the over at -114.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto of the Dodgers finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Shota Imanaga of the Cubs with seven as well. However, Yamamoto is projected to go deeper into the game, and we have him as the best pitcher to pick up a win today.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Teoscar Hernández | Questionable | Foot |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Probable | Rotator Cuff |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Justin Steele | Out | Elbow |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Hayden Wesneski | Out | Forearm |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
