Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 7/21/2024

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The Red Sox and Dodgers face off in an interleague matchup on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are favored on the money line (-119). The Red Sox have a money line payout of +100, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.

Boston will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 53-44 and 3rd in the AL East. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with a record of 58-41. ESPN is carrying this game on TV, and the forecast for Los Angeles calls for clear skies and temperatures in the upper 80s.

Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Boston Red Sox odds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• The Red Sox are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• As the favorite, the Dodgers are 4-6 over their last ten games, including going 2-8 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Red Sox have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Dodgers vs Red Sox series. Los Angeles went into the matchup as -135 favorites and squeaked out a 7-6 win. Boston had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 9th and another two in the 10th, but the Dodgers responded with two runs in the bottom of the 10th to pick up the win.

Justin Wrobleski got the start for the Dodgers, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up three hits and striking out five. Blake Treinen got the win out of the bullpen. Brayan Bello had a good outing for the Red Sox, going six innings and striking out seven.

Offensively, the Dodgers were led by Enrique Hernandez and Gavin Lux, who each had two hits and a home run. Hernandez, Freddie Freeman, and Andy Pages each had two RBIs for Los Angeles’ offense.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is on the road for today’s matchup vs. the Dodgers, and they come into the game two games above .500 at 53-44. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are 6.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. So far, they are 13-11 in AL East matchups.

As the favorite, the Red Sox have gone 30-19 this year and 23-25 as the underdog. Boston has won three straight games as the favorite overall. They are also 13-3 as the favorite on the road this year. The Red Sox have an overall road record of 29-19 compared to 24-25 at home. Boston’s overall series record is 16-10-5, and they have won four straight series.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 28-20. They have a positive run differential of 1.2 runs per game on the road, which is the main reason for their success against the run line. They have been an underdog in 48 of their 71 road games, and they have gone 28-20 against the run line in those games.

The Red Sox have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their games having an average of 8.9 runs per contest. Their over/under record is just below .500 at 45-46, and they have gone 6-4-2 when the line is set at 9 runs. Overall, 19.6% of their games have had lines set at over 9 runs, with the average line for their games being set at 8 runs.

Through 19 starts, Kutter Crawford has a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 3.04 for the Red Sox. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Royals, he went seven innings and gave up just four hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Crawford has given up a total of two earned runs. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.36. At home, his ERA is 3.9, and he is 3-5.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 4th in batting average, 3rd in slugging percentage, and 5th in OPS. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the best BABIP in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat for the Red Sox of late, going 13/28 in his last seven games, including a home run. Duran is batting .289 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 44 RBIs. Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are also having strong seasons, with Devers leading the team with 23 homers and O’Neill sitting 2nd on the team with 18 homers.

With an overall record of 58-41, the Dodgers lead the NL West by seven games over the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Red Sox and will be the home team for today’s game. So far, they are 18-15 in the division and have won two straight games overall.

Los Angeles has won two straight games, and this season, they are 30-19 at home and 28-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 55-34 this season and 3-7 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 18-14-1 but have dropped two straight series.

When the Dodgers win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.8. However, they have been outscored by an average of -3.2 runs in their losses. Overall, their average run differential for the season is +0.9 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 48-51. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 26-24 compared to 22-27 at home. As the favorite, they are 44-45 on the run line, compared to 4-6 as the underdog.

The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-48. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-6. So far this season, 17.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 68.7% of their games have had lower lines.

Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Red Sox at home. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 4.38. Paxton’s WHIP for the season is 1.45, and opponents are batting .247 this year. In his 17 appearances, Paxton has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.08 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Paxton finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He did not give up a homer in that outing.

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the top hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .315 with 29 home runs and 69 RBIs. Ohtani is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 11/36 (.306) over his last nine games. Teoscar Hernandez is also on a good stretch, as he has homered in seven straight games and is 8/23 in his last nine games.

Overall, the Dodgers offense has been one of the best in the league, as they are 3rd in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They also have the league’s top on-base percentage and have the 2nd best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 5th in the MLB.

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers. With the Dodgers predicted to win and a money line of -119, that is the way we would recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with six strikeouts compared to Kutter Crawford with four. If you are looking for a player prop bet, you could look at the over/under on Paxton’s strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
• The Dodgers should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report