Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Preview
At 4:10 PM ET, the Braves and Dodgers will square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and features a Braves club that is 20-11 compared to the Dodgers at 22-13. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Braves are the favorite on the money line at -135.
James Paxton is starting for the Dodgers, and he is up against Max Fried for the Braves. You can catch this one on BSSE.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Atlanta Braves odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Braves in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- Over their last ten games, the Braves have a 6-4 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Dodgers have gone 7-3 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 8-2 over their last ten games.
Thanks to a four-home run performance from the Dodgers’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -195 on the money line.
Los Angeles got to Braves starter Bryce Elder, who gave up seven earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work and took the loss. As for the Dodgers, they got a good outing from Tyler Glasnow, who gave up just two earned runs across seven innings of work and got the win.
Mookie Betts, Max Muncy, Shohei Ohtani, and Andy Pages each homered for the Dodgers. Betts, Ohtani, and Pages each scored twice and drove in two runs. Ronald Acuna Jr. hit the game’s only other home run for the Braves.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
With an overall record of 20-11, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 1.5 games. The Braves have dropped two straight games, and these have come after winning three in a row. So far, they have been good against other teams in the NL East, going 8-4.
At home, the Braves have been really good, going 11-4 this season. They have also been above average on the road, posting a record of 9-7. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 20-9 and 0-2 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 7-2-1 and they have dropped two straight as the road team.
The Braves have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 9-7. They have an average run differential of +1.7 runs per game on the road and are 15-16 overall on the run line. They have been a favorite in 29 of their 30 games this season.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is right in line with the Braves’ average combined run total of 9.2 runs per game this season. Atlanta’s over/under record on the year is 12-17, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they are 2-5-1. In games with lines set at 9 runs, the over has hit 5 times and the under has hit 3 times.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 4.02. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. One of his complete games and shutouts came in his last outing, where he went six innings and didn’t give up a run to the Mariners. Fried has made three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.18 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed two homers and is averaging 3.16 walks per nine innings.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have been just as good at home as they have been on the road this season. As a team, they are batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as the league’s leading run producer, with 32 RBIs, and he is also 2nd in the league with nine home runs. Ozuna is batting .299 for the season. Michael Harris II is 3rd on the team with a batting average of .278 and has gone deep three times this season. Austin Riley has gone 6/21 in his last five games and is currently on a four-game hitting streak.
With an overall record of 22-13, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are currently on a three-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-4 against other teams in the NL West. Los Angeles is closing out their series vs. the Braves, having won the first two games.
At home, the Dodgers are 11-8 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 11-5. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 14-6 this year. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 22-12, and they are 0-1 as the underdog this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 7-5 and have won three straight series overall.
When the Dodgers win, they win big, averaging a run margin of 4.2 runs per game. In their losses, they lose big, with a run margin of -2.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 17-18, but they are 10-6 against the run line on the road and just 7-12 against the run line at home.
The Dodgers and Braves have a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. So far this season, the over/under record for Dodgers games is 20-15, and when the line is set at 9 runs, the record is 2-1. Overall, 71.4% of Dodgers games this season have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 9 runs.
James Paxton is getting the start for the Dodgers at home against the Braves. He has started 3 games this season, with a win in each of his last two outings. In his most recent start, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs on 6 hits. He has 14 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings this season.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the top team batting average in the league. Mookie Betts and Max Muncy have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Betts ranking 3rd in the league in RBIs (27) and Muncy’s eight homers also being 3rd best in the MLB.
Over his last eight games, Andy Pages has gone 14/34 (.412) with two homers and eight RBIs. Max Muncy has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/24 with four homers in his last six games. Teoscar Hernández comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with seven homers.
Our pick for this Braves vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at +113. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one 6-5, and with the payout being over even money, this is a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have James Paxton finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for 15th among starters. As for Max Fried, he is projected to finish with five K’s as well, and he comes in at 20th in our rankings.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- The Dodgers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Blake Treinen | Out | Lung |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Elbow |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Pierce Johnson | Out | Elbow |
| Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
| Sean Murphy | Out | Oblique |
| Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
