Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Preview
At 10:10 PM ET, the Braves and Dodgers will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and features a Braves club that is 20-9 vs. the Dodgers at 20-13. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Dodgers are the slight favorite on the money line at -115.
Charlie Morton is going for the Braves, and he is facing off against Gavin Stone for the Dodgers. You can catch this one on MLBN.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Atlanta Braves odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Braves have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Dodgers, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
- In their previous ten games, Braves have won 6-4 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
- The Dodgers are 8-2 (favorite) and 5-5 (underdog).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -186. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on just six hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going five innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Mariners. Atlanta’s bullpen closed things out with Raisel Iglesias picking up the save.
Atlanta kicks off their series vs. the Dodgers on the road, leading the NL East by a half-game over the Phillies. The Braves are 20-9 overall and have gone 8-4 in divisional games. Coming into today’s game, the Braves lost two of three to the Mariners.
So far, the Braves have been really good at home, going 11-4, and they have been solid on the road at 9-5. This year, they have been the favorite in every game, and their overall series record is 7-2-1.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run differential of +2.6 runs per game, which is better than their +0.7 run differential at home. As a result, they are 8-6 against the run line on the road, compared to 6-9 at home. Overall, they are 14-15 against the run line, with an average run differential of +1.7 runs per game.
The Braves have been on a nine-game under streak, and their average combined run total is 9.2. Their over/under record is 11-16, and when the line is set at 9.5, they are 3-4. So far this season, only 10.3% of their games have had lines set higher than 9.5 runs.
Charlie Morton and the Braves are on the road to take on the Dodgers today. Morton has started 4 games so far this season, and he has a win and 2 no-decisions. In his last start, he went 7 innings and struck out 6, giving up 4 hits and 2 runs. He has given up 2 home runs in 20 1/3 innings of work.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the most dangerous hitters in the league so far this season, as his nine home runs are 2nd in the league, and his 32 RBIs are the most in the MLB. Ozuna is also batting .321, which is 2nd on the team. Over his last seven games, he has gone 7/23 (.304) with five RBIs. The Braves will be looking for Ozuna to continue his strong play, as Adam Duvall is just 2/9 in his last three games, and Austin Riley is batting just .179 over his last seven games.
As a team, the Braves are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are 2nd in batting average and have the league’s top team BABIP. Atlanta also has the league’s top OPS and are 3rd in both on-base percentage and slugging.
Heading into their last game vs. the Diamondbacks, the Dodgers closed out the series with an 8-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -144. It was a five-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Diamondbacks could only score two more runs the rest of the 3rd.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto put together a good start for the Dodgers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five. The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Andy Pages, who went 1/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Los Angeles will host the Braves with an overall record of 20-13, good for 1st place in the NL West. They currently lead the division by 4.5 games over the Padres and are 7-4 in divisional matchups. The Dodgers have been really good on the road this year, putting together an 11-5 record. At home, they are just above .500 at 9-8.
So far, the Dodgers have been really good in night games, going 13-5, and they are 20-12 as the favorite this season. Los Angeles has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 7-5 this year. They are coming off taking two of three from the Diamondbacks and are 8-2 over their last 10 games.
The Dodgers have a run line record of 16-17 this season, including a 6-11 mark at home. Their average run differential is +1.5 runs per game. They are 10-6 against the run line on the road, where their average scoring margin is +2.2 runs per game. They have been favored in 32 games and have gone 16-16 against the run line in those contests.
Los Angeles has played in 33 games this season, and only three of them have had over/under lines higher than 9.5 runs. The Dodgers have a 2-2 over/under record in games with a line of 9.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 19-14.
Gavin Stone is getting the start for the Dodgers at home against the Braves. Stone has been a bit up and down to start the season, as he has a win, a loss, and a no-decision in his first three outings. His last time out, he went 7 innings and gave up just 1 run on 2 hits, and he has 10 strikeouts through his first 16 innings of work.
Los Angeles comes into the game with the league’s best batting average at .271, and they have also been one of the top home run hitting teams in the league this season. As a team, they are averaging 5.4 runs per game, and they have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. The Dodgers are also the top on-base percentage team in the league, and their OPS of .794 is also the best in the MLB.
Mookie Betts has been the Dodgers’ top hitter this season, batting .377 with six homers and 25 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani is also having a great season at the plate, hitting .336 with seven homers. Will Smith is on a six-game hitting streak but has gone just 4/17 in his last four games.
Our prediction for this Braves vs. Dodgers matchup is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that they are also the money line favorites at -115, this is the bet we would recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Stone finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 10th among starters. As for Charlie Morton, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is fifth best among starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Dodgers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Joe Kelly | Questionable | Groin |
Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
Blake Treinen | Out | Lung |
Walker Buehler | Out | Elbow |
Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
Sean Murphy | Out | Oblique |
Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |