Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
From Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, the Diamondbacks and Dodgers face off in an NL West matchup. First pitch for this one is at 9:10 PM ET, and the game is being televised on SNLA.
The Dodgers are 53-34 and they lead the NL West by 11 games, while the Diamondbacks are 42-44 and they are 3rd in the division. Los Angeles is the money line favorite tonight, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Arizona Diamondbacks odds
Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Diamondbacks are 2-3. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Dodgers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The Diamondbacks have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Dodgers by a score of 12-4. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Dodgers and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +173 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Cristian Mena for the Diamondbacks and Gavin Stone for the Dodgers. Mena only went three innings but gave up just four hits and two earned runs. On the other side, Stone was tagged for four homers and four runs in just three innings of work.
Arizona’s top four hitters did most of the damage, as Christian Walker, Gabriel Moreno, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., and Eugenio Suarez combined for nine hits and eight RBIs. Walker and Moreno each homered twice.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Arizona is 42-44 overall and trail the Dodgers by 10.5 games in the NL West. So far, they have gone 16-13 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, and they are 20-23 for the year away from home.
The Diamondbacks have been a bit below average as the favorite this year, going 22-17 in those games. As the underdog, Arizona is 20-27 this season. So far, they have an overall series record of 10-13-3. Heading into game three vs. the Dodgers, the Diamondbacks are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Arizona has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 23-20. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a profitable bet as the underdog, going 26-21 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.2.
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-41. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-12. Overall, 43.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at two games.
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. So far this season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 6-4. Gallen’s ERA is currently 2.83, and he has a WHIP of 1.07. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Gallen picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Athletics. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings.
Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks, going 13/38 in his last 10 games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .267 with a team-high 20 homers and 59 RBIs. Walker’s 59 RBIs are 7th best in the league. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season at the plate, batting .286 with 17 homers and 50 RBIs.
As a team, the Diamondbacks are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been a good home and road offensive team this season. Overall, they are batting .253 (7th) and have the league’s 7th best strikeout rate. Arizona is also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging.
With an overall record of 53-34, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 7.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 18-14 against other teams in the NL West. At home, the Dodgers are 26-17 this season and 27-17 on the road.
Los Angeles has gone 51-30 as the favorite this season, but they are just 2-4 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Dodgers are 17-10-1 this season. They are also 6-4 across their last ten games overall.
When the Dodgers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is 4.0 runs per game, but they are just 2-4 against the run line as an underdog. Overall, they are 43-44 against the run line this season, and they are 24-20 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +1.3 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line is 8.5 runs, which is lower than the average line for Dodgers games this season. The Dodgers have gone over the total in 22 of 38 games with an 8.5 run line, and the over is on a five-game streak for the Dodgers. The Dodgers and their opponents have combined to average 8.8 runs per game this season.
Landon Knack gets the start for the Dodgers today and is coming off a short outing vs. the Giants, where he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up one earned run. In that outing, he gave up five hits, two walks, and one homer. Knack has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA. Looking back at his last six outings, he has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three starts. Knack’s WHIP for the season is .96, and opponents are batting .188 off him this year.
Shohei Ohtani has been a huge part of the Dodgers’ offense this season, as he is batting .319 with a league-leading 27 home runs and 64 RBIs. Ohtani has been even better of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games with four homers and six RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he has 19 homers and 59 RBIs while batting .254.
As a team, the Dodgers are 2nd in scoring at 5.1 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are the top on-base percentage team in the league and have the best team OPS in the MLB. They are also near the top of the league in both slugging and isolated power.
Our predictions for this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -135. We have the Dodgers winning this one by a final score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs, we like the over, as we have this game going over the line by half a run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Zac Gallen finishing with five strikeouts compared to Landon Knack, who we have finishing with four. However, Knack is projected to pick up the win 13th among starters, while Gallen is 11th.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Diamondbacks (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Mookie Betts | Out | Hand |
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Max Muncy | Out | Oblique |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Hip |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Michael Grove | Out | Lat |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Jordan Montgomery | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
