Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Preview
From Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, we have the Mets and Angels facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for Friday’s matchup is set for 9:38 PM ET. BSW will be televising Friday’s matchup.
Paul Blackburn gets the start for the Mets, and they are favored on the money line, as their odds sit at -141 compared to the Angels at +118. New York is 3rd in the NL East, while the Angels, who have lost two straight, are 4th in the AL West. Tyler Anderson will be starting for the Angels.
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Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- In the Angels’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Mets have a 7-3 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- The Angels have a 3-7 record vs. the runline and a 3-7 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Prediction
New York closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 8-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. Things really got away from the Mets in the 3rd inning, as the Twins scored five runs in the inning. New York’s offense scored their only three runs in the 2nd.
Luis Severino had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Mets also wasted a big game from Mark Vientos, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/3.
The Mets are 57-51 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. In their 108 games, they have gone 20-16 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are coming off a series win over the Twins and have gone 7-3 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this year and 27-22 on the road. New York has been the favorite in 63 of their games, going 35-28 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, the Mets are 22-23 this year. Their overall series record is 17-13-7, and they are 12-10 as the road favorite this season.
The Mets have been a strong bet against the run line on the road this season, going 27-22. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 25-34 against the run line at home. They have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game on the road and +0.1 runs per game at home. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 27-18. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5 runs per game, while it is -3.4 runs per game in losses.
The Mets are on the road against the Angels today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 58-47. The average over/under line for Mets games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-3. So far this season, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 10.2% of their games.
Paul Blackburn gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Angels on the road. So far, he has made nine starts and has a record of 4-2 with a 4.41 ERA. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. He picked up the win in that start. Looking back at his last four outings, Blackburn has alternated between wins and losses. One concerning stat for Blackburn is that he has allowed eight homers on the road compared to just one at home.
Mark Vientos has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/24 with three homers over his last seven games. He also has seven RBIs during this stretch. Vientos comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak. Jeff McNeil has also been swinging the bat well for the Mets, hitting .320 over his last seven games.
Brandon Nimmo is the Mets’ leader in RBIs this season, and he has 16 homers, which is 2nd on the team. As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game.
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rockies scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Los Angeles was the -123 favorite at home going into the game.
Carson Fulmer put together a good start for the Angels, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Angels couldnjson’t close things out, and Hans Crouse took the loss out of the bullpen. The Angels also wasted a big game from Mickey Moniak, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 2/4.
With a record of 47-62, the Angels are 4th in the AL West, trailing the Astros by 9.5 games. Los Angeles will host the Mets today, having dropped two straight games. The Angels lost the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies.
At home, the Angels are 24-34 compared to 23-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Angels are 41-50 this season, and they have won four straight games as the underdog overall. Los Angeles has an overall series record of 10-23-2 and has dropped two straight series.
Despite a losing run differential, the Angels have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 60-49. They have been especially good on the road, going 29-22 on the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 55-36 on the run line.
Los Angeles Angels games have had a combined run average of 9.0 this season, and their over/under record is 55-51. The average over/under line in their games is 8, but when the line is set at 9, their record is 9-9-2. Only 10.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 or higher, with 71.6% of their games having lower lines.
Left-hander Tyler Anderson gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 2.96. Anderson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his last outing, he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs on 10 hits. Before that, he had put together a nice stretch of starts, going 5 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run and then six innings without giving up an earned run. Anderson has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
For the Angels to improve their 4 runs per game mark, they will need more production from Taylor Ward and Jo Adell, who are both batting just .226 and .193, respectively. However, both players are tied for the team lead with 16 homers. Logan O’Hoppe has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last seven games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .280 with a team-high 46 RBIs.
As a team, the Angels are batting .235, which is 16th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Currently, they are 18th in home runs and are averaging 8 strikeouts per game.
We see the Angels taking this one at home by a score of 6-5. With the Angels being the underdogs at +118, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning and also have as a better hitting team compared to the Mets.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Anderson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him ranked 16th among starters. As for Paul Blackburn, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which would have him at 13th.
Los Angeles Angels vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- We like the Angels on the moneyline (+118)
- The Angels are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
José Cisnero | Out | Shoulder |
Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
Anthony Rendon | Out | Back |
Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
Luis Rengifo | Questionable | Wrist |
Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
New York Mets Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
Brandon Nimmo | Questionable | Foot |
Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
Reed Garrett | Out | Elbow |
Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
Dedniel Núñez | Out | Elbow |
Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |