Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Preview
From Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, we have the Astros and Angels facing off in an AL West matchup. The forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Houston is currently 1st in the AL West and has an overall record of 78-68, while the Angels are 5th in the division at 60-86.
The Astros are the heavy money line favorite for Friday’s game, as their odds sit at -205 compared to the Angels at +171. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and first pitch is set for 9:38 PM ET. BSW is carrying Friday’s TV coverage of this one.
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Astros have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 1-4 performance on the runline.
- In the Angels’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- The Astros have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 4-6.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Angels have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 2-8 straight-up.
Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing one run to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Astros responded with two runs of their own. Houston went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Jason Heyward went only 1/3, but his one hit was a home run, and the Astros scored four runs in the 2nd. Jon Singleton also had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and an RBI.
Houston heads into today’s game vs. the Angels with a record of 78-68, which has them leading the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners. The Astros are coming off a series loss, dropping two of three to the Athletics. So far, they are 22-20 in divisional games.
On the road, the Astros are an even 36-36 this season. They have been a bit better at home, going 42-32. As the road favorite, the Astros are 21-22 this season, and they are 60-49 overall as the favorite. Houston’s series record is 24-20-2 this season.
When the Astros are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 39-33. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-12, compared to 49-60 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1 runs.
The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Los Angeles Angels. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 60-81. The average O/U line for their games this season is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-27. The over has hit in their last two games.
Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 8-9 and an ERA of 4.31. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and he is averaging 10.51 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kikuchi picked up the win, going six innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.67 compared to 4-2 with a 5.5 ERA on the road.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ best hitter this season, leading the team with a .311 batting average and 32 home runs. He also has the 2nd most RBIs on the team, with 80. Jose Altuve has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/22 in his last five games. Altuve is batting .302 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 62 RBIs.
As a team, the Astros are 3rd in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston comes into the game with a team BABIP of .30, which is 5th in the league.
The Angels will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Los Angeles was the +180 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Offensively, the Angels only had four fewer hits than the Twins but scored just four runs. Three of their runs came in the 1st inning, and they added another run in the 3rd. However, they couldn’t keep things going, and the Twins scored the game’s final three runs to pick up the win.
Los Angeles is 60-86 overall and trail the Astros by 18 games in the AL West. The Angels have dropped two straight games, and they are 5th in the AL West, 4th in the division.
At home, the Angels are 30-42 this season, and they are 30-44 on the road. So far, they have gone just 6-15 as the favorite, and they are 24-32 as the home underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 13-30-3, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Angels win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.7 runs per game. They are 75-71 against the run line this season, and they are 37-35 against the run line at home. They are 38-36 against the run line on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two games as the favorite, and they are just 5-16 against the run line when favored this season.
The Angels are at home against the Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Angels games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 70-70. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-25. Overall, 34.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or lower, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Samuel Aldegheri is getting the start for the Angels today at home against the Astros. In his first start of the season, he picked up a win vs. the Rangers, going 6 innings and striking out 7. Aldegheri’s first start was on the road vs. the Mariners, where he took the loss.
For the season, the Angels are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. Their team batting average of .229 is also near the bottom of the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters, with Taylor Ward and Zach Neto coming in with 23 and 21 homers, respectively. Ward has been especially hot of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, with two homers.
Ward also comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak. Overall, he is batting .248 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs. Neto is the team’s leader in RBIs, with 70, and is batting .256 for the year.
For the money line, we like the Astros to pick up a win on the road, and if you’re looking to parlay this with another bet, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Astros.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Yusei Kikuchi is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and for the Angels, Samuel Aldegheri is projected to finish with five. However, we have Aldegheri finishing with a loss and Kikuchi getting the win.
Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- The Astros should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Angels Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Brandon Drury | Questionable | Hamstring |
Mike Trout | Out | Knee |
Matt Moore | Out | Elbow |
Kevin Pillar | Out | Thumb |
Anthony Rendon | Out | Back |
Robert Stephenson | Out | Elbow |
Carson Fulmer | Out | Elbow |
Luis Rengifo | Out | Wrist |
Jo Adell | Out | Oblique |
José Soriano | Out | Arm |
Patrick Sandoval | Out | Arm |
Andrew Wantz | Out | Elbow |
José Marte | Out | Illness |
Bryce Teodosio | Questionable | Finger |
Ben Joyce | Out | Shoulder |
Kelvin Caceres | Out | Lat |
Houston Astros Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Jose Altuve | Questionable | Side |
Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |