Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Brady Singer will start for the Royals on Saturday, as they look to snap a five-game losing streak. They are 82-72 overall and they are 2nd in the AL Central. The Giants, meanwhile, are 4th in the NL West with a record of 75-79.
San Francisco will be starting Landen Roupp, and the Giants are the slight money line underdog for this one, with their odds sitting at +131. Kansas City’s money line odds are currently at -154. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 83 degrees with overcast skies in Kansas City.
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Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 4-1 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- In the Royals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 3-2 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Royals have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Looking at the Giants’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Giants vs Royals series. San Francisco went into the matchup as +169 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. Heading into the game, the Giants had lost three straight.
Kansas City wasted a good outing from Michael Wacha, as he gave up just two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. The Royals offense only mustered five hits in the game and scored their only run in the 9th inning.
Mason Black got the start for the Giants and picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts but induced 11 ground balls.
Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 75-79 overall and trails the Dodgers by 17 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 4th in the division and are 17 games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 24-25 in divisional games. The Giants are coming off a loss in their most recent game but have won four of their last six.
At home, the Giants are 41-37 this year and 34-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 46-32 and 29-47 as the underdog. San Francisco’s overall series record is 23-22-4, and they have won two straight series on the road. At home, they have dropped four straight series.
San Francisco has been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 77-77 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, going 43-33 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 44-32 against the run line, compared to 33-45 as the favorite.
Despite their games averaging 8.6 runs per game, the San Francisco Giants have played to the over in just 14 of 24 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season. The Giants have played to the under in 72.1% of their games this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged just 8 runs per game.
Right-hander Landen Roupp is getting the start for the Giants today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made two starts and 21 appearances this season. Roupp’s record is 0-1, and he has an ERA of 3.02. Opponents have hit .197 off Roupp this season. In his 41 2/3 innings of work, Roupp has a WHIP of 1.25 and is averaging 8.64 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Roupp went five innings, giving up two earned runs and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
The Giants come into the game with a team batting average of .238, which is 13th in the league. Their average of 4.2 runs per game is 17th in the league. San Francisco has been a bit below average in terms of power, as they are 18th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .392 (19th). Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 24 homers and Ramos right behind him with 21.
Mike Yastrzemski has struggled at the plate of late, batting just .212 over his last nine games. However, he has hit four home runs during that stretch. Casey Schmitt is currently on a three-game hitting streak for the Giants.
The Royals are 82-72 overall and trail the Guardians by 7.5 games in the AL Central. Kansas City will be hosting the Giants today, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which has them losing the first two games of this homestand. Their overall record includes a 33-19 mark against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Royals are 45-34 this season and 37-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 47-29 this year, and they are 30-20 as the favorite at home. Kansas City has dropped three straight as the favorite. So far, they are 35-43 as the underdog. This season, the Royals’ series record is 22-25-2, and they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games overall.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Royals, it’s been a solid play overall this season, as they are 85-69. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 46-32 on the run line. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have been a solid play on the run line on the road, going 42-33. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last four home games.
The Royals have had 128 games this season, and 49 of them have had an over/under line of 8.5 or higher. That’s 31.8% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 67-82. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 17-27. Their games have gone under the total in each of their last three games.
Brady Singer will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Royals today. In that start, which came on September 15th, Singer took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Singer has given up at least two earned runs in each start. For the season, he has a record of 9-11 and an ERA of 3.53. Singer has made 30 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.27. Opponents are batting .250 off the right-hander this season.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Royals are batting .252, which is the 6th best mark in the league. They also have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league, but have been one of the worst teams in terms of drawing walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. He is also batting .334 for the season and has gone 12/39 in his last 10 games. Salvador Perez is 2nd on the team with 27 homers and is hitting .275 for the season.
The best way to play this Giants vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line, where they are sitting at -154. We actually have the Royals winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line, which is currently at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Brady Singer finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among today’s starters. As for Landen Roupp, he is projected to finish with five K’s, putting him in the middle of the pack.
Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Royals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | Out | Back |
| Chris Stratton | Out | Forearm |
| Michael Lorenzen | Out | Hamstring |
| Hunter Harvey | Out | Back |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Out | Thumb |
| James McArthur | Out | Elbow |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Matt Chapman | Out | Personal |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
