Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Preview
The forecast looks good for Thursday’s Yankees vs. Royals matchup, as the clear sky and 81-degree temperatures in Kansas City, MO. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium. YES will be televising the game, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line (-157).
New York comes in with a record of 49-21 and they have won four straight, while the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 39-30. Thursday’s starter for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes, while Alec Marsh goes for the Royals.
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Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- The Yankees are 5-0 across their last five road games. They have gone 5-0 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Royals have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games, the Yankees have a 10-0 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 10-0 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Royals have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
New York cruised to an easy 11-5 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring six of their eleven runs. As for the Royals, they scored their first run in the 5th and added their final four runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -172 on the money line.
Cody Poteet got the win for the Yankees, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Dan Altavilla had a rough outing for the Royals, taking the loss after going just one-third of an inning and giving up five earned runs.
At the plate, the Yankees were led by Jose Trevino and Giancarlo Stanton, as they were the only two Yankees hitters to have more than one hit. Trevino, Stanton, and Gleyber Torres each homered for New York’s offense.
Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 49-21 overall and lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. New York has won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. So far, they have gone just 8-8 in AL East matchups. The Yankees have won five straight series, and their overall series record is 16-3-2 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 22-10 this year, and they have been even better on the road at 27-11. New York has been tough to beat as the road favorite, going 16-7 this year. As the favorite overall, the Yankees are 37-16, and they are 12-5 when the underdog this year.
When the Yankees are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line. They are 25-13 ATS on the road this season and have covered in seven straight games. As the favorite, they are 29-24 ATS, but as the underdog, they are 14-3 ATS. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while in losing games, it’s -2.7.
The Yankees are on the road against the Royals today, and the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.3 runs, and their over/under record is 33-35. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. This season, they have only had one game with an over/under line of 10.5 runs, and the over hit in that game. The over has hit in their last two games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.68 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his last outing, Cortes took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Dodgers and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had turned in three straight solid outings, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each. Opponents are batting .233 vs. Cortes this season.
So far this season, the Yankees are the MLB’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in home runs and have a collective isolated power (ISO) of .184, which is also 2nd in the league.
Over his last five games, Aaron Judge has been on fire, going 10/20 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he leads the league with 62 RBIs and is tied for the MLB lead with 25 home runs. Juan Soto is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 17 long balls are 2nd on the team and 5th in the league. Soto is batting .317 for the season, while Judge is hitting .306.
Kansas City is 39-30 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, 5.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals have dropped four straight games, and they lost the first three games of this series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 13-9 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Royals are 24-14 this year, but they are just 15-16 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 19-9, and they are just above .500 at 20-21 as the underdog. This season, the Royals are 11-9 as the underdog at home, and their overall record as the underdog is 20-21.
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 41-28 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 22-16. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9, and they have been even better at home, where they have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line as the underdog, going 26-15, compared to 15-13 as the favorite. Their run line losing streak is at four games, and they have failed to cover the run line in three straight games as the favorite.
The Kansas City Royals are hosting the New York Yankees today, and oddsmakers have set the over/under line at 10.5 runs. The Royals and their opponents have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 32-35. The over has hit in two straight games for Kansas City, but this season, their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. Interestingly, this is only the second game all year where the over/under line has been set at 10.5 runs, and the over hit in the first one.
Kansas City is sending Alec Marsh to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Mariners, he allowed two homers. Overall, Marsh has a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 4.05. Opponents are batting .231 vs. Marsh this season, and he has a total of eight homers. Looking at his numbers, Marsh has a BB/9 figure of 2.55 compared to 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as they rank 2nd and 1st on the team in batting average, respectively, and have 10 and 11 homers, respectively. Witt Jr. comes into the game on a 13-game hitting streak and has gone 15/36 in his last eight games. Witt Jr. also has eight RBIs in that stretch.
For the season, the Royals are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and are batting a collective .253, which is 6th in the league.
Our predicted final score for this Yankees vs. Royals matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Royals. With the Royals being the underdog, you can get them at +133 on the money line, and that is our recommended pick for this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh has the fourth-best chances of picking up a win among today’s starters, and we have him finishing with six strikeouts. As for Nestor Cortes, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts and has the 14th best among starters to pick up a win.
Kansas City Royals vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- We like the Royals on the moneyline (+133)
- The Royals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
Michael Wacha | Out | Foot |
Hunter Renfroe | Out | Toe |
Adam Frazier | Out | Personal |
Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
Michael Massey | Out | Back |
New York Yankees Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
Scott Effross | Out | Back |
Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |