Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/8/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Preview

The Twins and Royals will face off in an AL Central matchup at 2:10 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The money line odds have the Royals at -121 compared to the Twins at +102. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Michael Wacha is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins. Minnesota is currently on a two-game losing streak, and their record of 76-66 has them 3rd in the AL Central. The Royals have won three straight and are 2nd in the division with a record of 78-65.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Twins in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
• In the Royals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Royals have a straight-up record of 8-2, while going 7-3 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Twins have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 3-7 against the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Royals vs Twins series. Kansas City went into the matchup as +114 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-2 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the Twins could only muster one more run in the 3rd inning. As for the Royals, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Edouard Julien was the difference for the Royals, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Alec Marsh pitched well for Kansas City, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision.

Minnesota wasted a good outing from Bailey Ober, who gave up just one hit and no earned runs in seven innings of work. Ober struck out seven Royals hitters but took the loss. Jhoan Duran also had a rough outing out of the bullpen, giving up four runs in just 0.2 innings of work.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

With an overall record of 76-66, the Twins are 3rd in the AL Central, five games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-19 against other teams in the division. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Royals 0-2.

Minnesota has been slightly better at home this year, going 39-30 compared to 37-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Twins are just 9-21 this year, and they have dropped four straight as the underdog overall. Minnesota has been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 60-38 this year. Heading into today’s game, they are 24-16-4 in series this year.

The Twins are 37-36 against the run line on the road this season. They have been the favorite in 98 games and the underdog in 44 games. Their average run margin in all games is +0.3 runs per game. They have gone over the run line in four straight road games.

The Twins are on the road today against the Royals, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Twins games this season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 71-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 21-21. This season, 13 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for just 9.2% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Minnesota is sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.95 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.76 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently pitched vs. the Rays, where he went 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, six hits, and two homers. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers come into the game tied for the team lead in home runs, but both players are hitting just .235 this season. Byron Buxton is 2nd on the team in homers, and he has a batting average of .275. Buxton is also 4th on the team with 49 RBIs. Willi Castro is batting .248 for the Twins and has 52 RBIs, which is 3rd on the team.

Over his last six games, Carlos Santana has gone just 4/20 with two homers and three RBIs. Jose Miranda has also gone deep in four straight games, but he is batting .280 over his last six games. As a team, the Twins are 11th in runs scored at 4.7 per game and are 7th in home runs.

With a record of 78-65, the Royals are 3.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have won three straight games, and these wins have all come against other AL Central teams. So far, they have gone 32-16 in divisional games.

At home, the Royals are 44-30 this year, and they are just above .500 at 34-35 on the road. Kansas City has been favored in 71 of their games, and they are 45-26 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, the Royals are 33-39 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Royals have an overall series record of 20-22-2 and have lost two straight series.

When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game in their victories. They are 79-64 on the run line this season, including a 42-32 mark at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home and are 37-32 on the run line on the road this season.

When the Kansas City Royals play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the year is 64-74, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 15-24. This season, 34.3% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at three games.

Michael Wacha will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss vs. the Guardians. In that start, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Wacha has a record of 11-7 and an ERA of 3.50. Out of his 25 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.69 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Wacha has allowed 16 home runs and is averaging just 2.44 walks per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 3.79 compared to 3.85 on the road.

For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are one of the league’s best-hitting teams, with a team batting average of .254. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Kansas City is also one of the league’s best teams at putting the ball in play, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. However, they have struggled in the walk department and have a collective on-base percentage of just .310.

Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .336 with 30 home runs and 98 RBIs. However, he has hit just .200 over his last eight games. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, as he is batting .270 with 25 homers.

Our prediction for the Royals vs. Twins matchup is that the Royals will come away with a 6-5 win. Given that they are at home and are money line favorites at -121, this is the best bet to make for this game.

If you’re looking for some other bets, you could look at the over/under line, which is sitting at 8.5 runs. Our models have the game going over, but we have the Royals scoring six runs, so you could also look to parlay a Royals win with the over.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• Take the Royals on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Twins (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report