Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
At 2:10 from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, we have an interleague matchup between the Brewers and Royals. Coming into the game, the Brewers have a record of 21-14, while the Royals are 21-16. Milwaukee is currently in first place in the NL Central, and the Royals are in second in the AL Central.
Wednesday’s forecast in Kansas City calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. Joe Ross gets the start for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Brady Singer for the Royals. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Royals are the favorite at -131 on the money line.
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Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- The Brewers are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Royals have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Royals have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
It was a close game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Royals series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as +110 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. The Brewers had a huge 9th inning, scoring three runs to pick up the win. As for the Royals, they scored four of their five runs in the 5th.
Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. Jared Koenig got the win out of the bullpen, and Trevor Megill got the save. Seth Lugo put together a good outing for the Royals, giving up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.
Milwaukee’s offense was led by Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins, as they were the only two Brewers hitters to have more than one hit. Adames, Joey Ortiz, William Contreras, and Brice Turang each had two RBIs.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is currently 21-14 overall and leads the NL Central, tied with the Cubs. The Brewers will be on the road today, taking on the Royals. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional games and are 6-3-2 in series matchups this year.
At home, the Brewers are just 7-7 this year, but they have been really good on the road at 14-7. As the underdog, Milwaukee has gone 12-8 this year, and they are 10-4 as the underdog on the road. Looking at their overall series, the Brewers are 6-3-2.
When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 14-7 this season. Their average run margin on the road is +1.6, and they have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog. The Brewers have been a much better bet against the run line on the road than at home, where they are just 4-10.
So far this season, the Brewers have played 35 games and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or more in 3 of them. The over/under record for the Brewers this season is 20-15. The average over/under line for Brewers games this season has been 8 runs. The Brewers’ games have had an average of 9.3 runs per game this season.
Through six starts, Joe Ross has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.64 for the Brewers. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a start in which he only gave up one earned run. In that outing, which came against the Cubs, Ross went six innings and finished with a no-decision. Ross has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. His ERA at home is 7.46, compared to 2.01 on the road.
Over his last eight games, Willy Adames has struggled at the plate, going 6/31. However, he does have four homers and 12 RBIs during that stretch. Rhys Hoskins and Adames are tied for the team lead with seven homers, but Hoskins is batting just .218 for the season. Christian Yelich has also been a bright spot for the Brewers, hitting .333 with five homers.
William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers, going 8/31 in his last eight games and batting .331 for the season. He also leads the team with 27 RBIs. Overall, the Brewers are 8th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 4th in homers and have a collective slugging percentage of .413.
With an overall record of 21-16, the Royals are 2nd in the AL Central, and they trail the Guardians by 2.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional matchups. The Royals are looking to get back on track, as they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games and are 1-1 so far in their series vs. the Brewers.
At home, the Royals have gone 14-8 this season compared to a 7-8 mark on the road. As the favorite, Kansas City has put together an 8-5 record and are 13-11 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 6-3 as the home favorite. This season, the Royals pitching staff has been solid, ranking 7th in team ERA.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That has helped them to a 23-14 run line record this season, including a 13-9 mark at home. They have been particularly good against the run line as the underdog, going 17-7 so far this season.
So far this season, the Kansas City Royals have played 35 games, with 12 of them going over the total and 23 going under. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 4 times and under 12 times. Overall, 9 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 8.5 runs, which is 24.3% of their games.
Brady Singer has made seven starts this season and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 2.46. So far, he has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a homer. Against the Rangers on May 3rd, Singer went six innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with eight strikeouts. Singer has been solid at home, with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.44. On the road, his ERA is 2.7. Overall, he has allowed four homers. Singer’s WHIP for the season is .97.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 15th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Coming into the game, the Royals have a collective on-base percentage of .305.
The Royals have been led by Salvador Perez, who is hitting .326 with a team-high 8 home runs and 31 RBIs. Bobby Witt Jr. has also been a key contributor, as he is batting .319 with 4 homers and 19 RBIs. Perez and Witt Jr. are also on a 1 and 2 game hitting streak, respectively. Michael Massey has been hot of late, going 11/31 in his last 8 games.
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at -131. We actually have the Royals winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Joe Ross finishing with six strikeouts, which is 11th best among today’s starters. As for Brady Singer, we have him finishing with six K’s as well, which has him just outside the top 10.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Royals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
| Carlos Hernández | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Brentz | Out | Hamstring |
| Alec Marsh | Out | Forearm |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Freddy Peralta | Out | Suspension |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Joey Wiemer | Out | Knee |
