Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Brewers and Royals are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, with the forecast looking good for the game. Milwaukee comes in with a record of 20-14, while the Royals are 21-15.
Seth Lugo is starting for the Royals, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. Kansas City is at -133 on the money line compared to the Brewers at +112. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
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Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Brewers are 2-3. This includes going 4-1 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Royals have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Royals have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
Thanks to a three-run 7th inning for the Royals’ offense, they picked up a 3-2 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -137 on the money line.
Kansas City got to Brewers starter Bryse Wilson, who gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, Cole Ragans put together a good outing, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Michael Massey and Maikel Garcia were the only two Royals hitters to have more than one hit. Massey also homered in the game. Gary Sanchez hit a home run for the Brewers, going 1/4.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee is on the road today vs. the Royals, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, and they have dropped four of their last five games. The Brewers are 20-14 overall, putting them in a tie with the Cubs for the NL Central lead. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 6-3-2 this year.
As the road underdog, the Brewers have gone 9-4 this season, and they are 11-8 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee is also 9-6 when favored. They have been good on the road this year, coming in with a 13-7 mark.
When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 13-7. They have been especially profitable as the underdog, going 13-6. Their average run margin in those games is +1.6 runs per game. They have covered the run line in four straight games as the underdog.
The Milwaukee Brewers have played 34 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for the first time in their last 10 games. The Brewers have gone 19-15 on the over/under line for the season, and the over has hit in two of their last three games. The Brewers have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season.
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today as he faces the Royals on the road. Rea has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA. So far, he has made two quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.22. In his most recent outing, Rea picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Rea has been much better on the road, with a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 2.19 compared to 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA at home.
William Contreras comes into the game with a team-leading batting average of .328, and he has also been a force at the plate in terms of driving in runs, as his 27 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 5th in the league. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with six homers, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Adames also comes into the game with 22 RBIs, which is 10th in the league.
Over their last 10 games, both Blake Perkins and William Contreras have struggled a bit at the plate, with Perkins batting just .158 and Contreras hitting .237. However, Contreras did have five RBIs during that stretch. Adames also has three homers in his last 10 games but is batting just .211.
Kansas City will host the Brewers today with an overall record of 21-15, and they are 2nd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians. The Royals are 8-5 in AL Central matchups this year. So far, they have gone 14-7 at home compared to 7-8 on the road.
The Royals have an overall series record of 5-6 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last ten games overall. As the favorite, the Royals have gone 8-4 this year, and they are 6-2 as the favorite at home. Kansas City has been above average as the underdog, putting together a mark of 13-11 this year.
When the Royals win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That’s why they are 23-13 on the run line this season. They have been a good bet at home, going 13-8 on the run line, while they are 10-5 on the run line on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 17-7 on the run line in those games.
With an average combined run total of 7.9 runs per game, the Kansas City Royals have seen their games go over the total just 11 times in 34 games this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Milwaukee Brewers is set at 9 runs, and the Royals have gone 1-4 in games with that line this season. Kansas City has seen the under hit in each of their last two games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today vs. the Brewers and comes into the game with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 1.60. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Lugo has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 0.43. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work vs. the Blue Jays. Lugo has won each of his last three starts.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Kansas City’s offense is 9th in the league in home runs and is batting a combined .237. One thing to note is that they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Salvador Perez has been the team’s top power threat this season, as he is 4th in the league with 8 home runs and is batting .328. Bobby Witt Jr. is also swinging a hot bat, coming into the game with a batting average of .314. Over his last six games, Michael Massey is hitting .409 with three homers.
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at -133. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 6-5, and with the payout for the Royals to win straight up, we feel this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Seth Lugo finishing with five strikeouts, and Colin Rea with five as well. However, Lugo has the better chance of picking up a win, as he is 15th in our starting pitcher rankings compared to Rea at 10th.
Kansas City Royals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips
- Take the Royals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | Out | Personal |
| Carlos Hernández | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Kris Bubic | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Brentz | Out | Hamstring |
| Alec Marsh | Out | Forearm |
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Yelich | Out | Back |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Freddy Peralta | Out | Suspension |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Joey Wiemer | Out | Knee |
